Umthelela we-COVID-19 eNingizimu Afrika uzothinta yonke iminotho yaseNingizimu ne-Afrika

I-African Development Bank: Umthelela we-COVID-19 eNingizimu Afrika uzothinta yonke iminotho yaseNingizimu ne-Afrika
Umthelela we-COVID-19 eNingizimu Afrika uzothinta yonke iminotho yaseNingizimu ne-Afrika
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Umbiko uphakamisa izinqubomgomo ezibandakanya, ezisabalele kanye nezabantu abahlwempu ukubhekana nokungalingani kanye nokunciphisa amazinga obuphofu; Umthelela we Covid-19 eNingizimu Afrika kulindeleke ukuthi kuthinte yonke iminotho eseNingizimu ye-Afrika.

Izinga eliphakeme lokulungela liyadingeka ngokuphuthumayo ukuvimbela kanye nokunciphisa ubhadane lwe-COVID-19 e-Afrika eseNingizimu, kubandakanya nezinsizakusebenza ezengeziwe zokuhlola nokunciphisa umthelela emindenini nakwezomnotho, I-African Development Bank kusho kwi-Outlook entsha yeSouth Africa Regional Economic Outlook.

Esimweni esibi kunazo zonke, ukukhula kweNingizimu ne-Afrika kuzokwehla kuye ku -6.6% ngo-2020 ngaphambi kokuba kubuyele ku-2.2% ngo-2021.

Ukukhula kulindeleke ukuba kube ngu- -4.9% esimweni sokuqala, ikakhulu okuqhutshwa wukwehla kwezomnotho okujulile eNingizimu Afrika, okubangelwe ukwehla kwamanani entengo, izindlela zokunqanda, imicimbi ehlobene nesimo sezulu, kanye nezinkinga zesakhiwo ezihlobene nezinsiza zomphakathi. Ukukhula kwesifunda kulindeleke ukuthi kuthinteke kakhulu yi-COVID-19.

Ngaphambi kwe-COVID-19, umnotho waseNingizimu ne-Afrika kwakucatshangwa ukuthi uzosimama kusuka ekukhuleni okulinganiselwa ku-0.7% ngo-2019 kuya ku-2.1% ngo-2020. Njengoba bekulokhu kwenzeka ngokomlando, iNingizimu Afrika, umnotho omkhulu esifundeni, kulindeleke ukuthi inikele ngokwesilinganiso esingu-60% kokukhishwa komnotho kwesifunda ngo-2020.

Ngemuva kokuqubuka kwe-COVID-19, izibikezelo zokukhula komnotho zehle ngamaphesenti ayi-7 kusuka kusilinganiso sokuqala ngaphansi kwesimo sokuqala, namaphuzu wamaphesenti ayi-8.7 ngaphansi kwesimo esibi kakhulu.

Umthelela we-COVID-19 eNingizimu Afrika kulindeleke ukuthi uconse kuwo wonke amazwe omnotho aseNingizimu ne-Afrika.

IBotswana, i-Eswatini, iLesotho neNamibia zibonakala zisengozini enkulu yokuncipha kweNingizimu Afrika ekukhuleni komnotho, kanti ukuthengiswa kwegesi nogesi eMozambique kungaphazamiseka. Ngaphezu kwalokho, amazwe ancike kwezokuvakasha, njengeMauritius, azothinteka kabi.

Kodwa-ke, ukubuka ngokushesha kuncike ekusakazekeni kwamacala amasha. INingizimu Afrika manje iyizwe lesihlanu elithinteke kakhulu emhlabeni, elinamacala acishe afike ku-400,000 aqinisekisiwe.

Umkhakha wezinsizakalo, owenza ngaphezu kwe-50% ye-GDP yeminotho eminingi yesifunda, kulindeleke ukuthi uthinteke kabi yilo bhubhane, olwenziwe lukhuni ukuvinjelwa kohambo, kanye nokuphazamiseka kwezokuthutha, ukusabalalisa, amahhotela nezindawo zokudlela, ezokungcebeleka, ukuthengisa nokuhweba.

Ukwehlukahlukana kwezomnotho, okubonakala ngezimboni eziqhutshwa yizimpahla, kuzosiza ukukhulisa ukuqina kwesifunda ngesikhathi sokwehla kwamandla, kusho umbiko.

I-Outlook ikhombe ubuphofu nokungalingani njengezinselelo ezimbili ezithinta isifunda esiseNingizimu ye-Afrika futhi yafuna izinqubomgomo ezihlose ukwenza ukukhula kubandakanye wonke umuntu, kubanzi futhi kube nobumpofu uma ukukhula kuzobhekana nezinkinga zombili.

Uma kuqhathaniswa nezinye izifunda e-Afrika, lesi sifunda sinezinga eliphakeme kakhulu labantu abangasebenzi, esilinganisa u-12.5% ​​phakathi kowezi-2011 nowe-2019, kulandele iNyakatho ne-Afrika elinganiselwa ku-11.8% esikhathini esifanayo.

Ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi kungenzeka kukhuphuke, ikakhulukazi emikhakheni ethinteke kakhulu enjengezokuvakasha kanye nokwamukela izihambi, ezokungcebeleka, ezokudayisa kanye nezohwebo kanye nezolimo, lapho iningi labantu esifundeni liqashwe khona.

Ukwenza ngcono ukuncintisana kwemvelo yebhizinisi esifundeni kubaluleke kakhulu. Indawo yase-Afrika Yezokuhweba Okukhululekile (i-AfCFTA) kulindeleke ukuthi ihlinzeke ngamathuba esikhathi esimaphakathi nesikhathi eside ezimakethe zokukhuthaza ukukhula komnotho. Imakethe yase-Afrika kulindeleke ukuthi inciphise eminye imiphumela emibi ye-COVID-19.

Ukushicilelwa kukhombe ukuhlinzekwa, kanye nokufinyeleleka, kwemfundo esezingeni eliphezulu namakhono njengesisekelo sempumelelo, isithunzi nenhlalakahle yabantu ngabanye, futhi kwakha umgogodla wezomnotho ophumelelayo. Ukufeza ukwehluka kwezomnotho kanye noshintsho lwesakhiwo oluya emikhakheni ephezulu yokukhiqiza, kudingeka abasebenzi abanamakhono angcono futhi abaguquguqukayo, kusho umbiko.

Ikhishwa minyaka yonke kusukela ngonyaka we-2003, i-African Economic Outlook (AEO) inikeza ubufakazi obucindezelayo kanye ne-analytics ehambisana nesikhathi yokwazisa nokweseka abathatha izinqumo base-Afrika. Kusukela ngo-2018, ukushicilelwa kwe-AEO kuye kwahlanganiswa nokukhishwa kweMibiko emihlanu yesiFunda Sezomnotho (i-REO) ye-Central, East, North, Southern and West Africa.

“Umbiko wesithathu walo nyaka wombiko we-Southern Africa Regional Outlook unikeza izinketho ezinamandla kubenzi bezinqubomgomo emazingeni kazwelonke nasezifundeni zokubhekana nezinselelo zokuthuthukiswa komnotho okusimeme ngokwakhiwa kwamakhono ngekusasa labasebenzi esikhathini sangemva kwe-COVID-19 , ”Kusho uJosephine Ngure, oyibamba loMqondisi Jikelele we-African Development Bank eSouth Africa.

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UHarry Johnson

UHarry Johnson ube ngumhleli wesabelo se- eTurboNews iminyaka engaphezu kwengu-20. Uhlala e-Honolulu, eHawaii, futhi udabuka eYurophu. Uyakujabulela ukubhala nokubika izindaba.

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