Ingabe iChina ingakwazi ukubikezela ukuzamazama komhlaba maduzane?

iphenyo yedivayisi3
iphenyo yedivayisi3

Ukubikezela ukuzamazama komhlaba kungaphepha ukufa okukhulu kanye nenhlekelele. Impendulo ingavela eChina nge-AETA

  1. Ukuzamazama komhlaba kungaba okulimazayo futhi kusukela esikhathini samanje, bekuyithemba lokuba nohlelo olukwazi ukubikezela ngokunembile izinhlekelele ezinjalo.
  2. Inkampani yaseChina egama lingu-Ai-coustic Electromagnetic To AI'. kungenzeka ukuthi uthole isisombululo
  3. Ku-2020, amaqembu aphezulu ayi-10 athola isilinganiso sokunemba esingaphezu kuka-70% ngezinga le-YES / NO lokushaya, ukunemba kwendawo ephezulu, nobukhulu.

Muva nje, iqembu labacwaningi abavela ePeking University baqale ukusebenza ohlelweni olwenzelwe ukubikezela ukuzamazama komhlaba ezinsukwini ngaphambi kokuba zenzeke ngemiphumela ethembisayo ethembisayo. Abantu baqale ukuthuthela ezweni ledijithali lokusebenzisa idatha enkulu nokuqeqesha i-AI ukusiza kakhulu isintu.

Ithimba locwaningo liqambe le phrojekthi I-AETA, emele 'I-Acoustic Electromagnetic Ku-AI'. Ithimba laqala lo msebenzi kusuka ngo-2010, ngemuva kokuzamazama komhlaba okubili okuhlasele iSichuan neQinghai, okuthinta izimpilo zabantu abangaphezu kuka-400,000.

Eminyakeni emi-4 eyedlule, ithimba le-AETA selifakele ngaphezu kwama-300 + ama-3-sensory systems, asetshenziselwe ukuqoqa imininingwane yama-acoustics ne-electromagnetic fields ezindaweni ezithinteke ukuzamazama komhlaba ikakhulukazi esifundeni saseSichuan, okwamanje kuqoqwe idatha engaphezulu kwe-40TB.

Ngale datha, iqembu likwazile ukuqeqesha ama-algorithms awo ukuhlela idatha edlule eyaholela, ngesikhathi, nangemva kokuzamazama komhlaba, ifundisa i-algorithm ukubikezela ukuzamazama komhlaba okuzayo kusetshenziswa idatha yesikhathi sangempela.

Ngo-2020 iqembu le-AETA lahlela umncintiswano wezinyanga eziyi-9, limema amanyuvesi aseChina, izikhungo zocwaningo, kanye nabafundi ukuba babambe iqhaza. Ithimba le-AETA labelane ngayo yonke imininingwane eqoqwe kule minyaka engu-4 eyedlule, lapho kutholakala khona ukuzamazama komhlaba. Bese banikeza amaqembu ukufinyelela kudatha ebukhoma futhi abancintisana nabo baletha imiphumela yabo. 

Ukunemba kwe-algorithm okuvela eqenjini ngalinye kunqunywa ezintweni ezi-3 ezibalulekile: Okokuqala, isilinganiso se-YEBO / CHA sokuthi ngabe kuzokwenzeka yini ukuzamazama komhlaba, okwesibili, ukuzamazama komhlaba, kanti okwesithathu, ubukhulu bokuzamazama komhlaba. Lezi zilinganiso ezi-3 zinquma inani lempumelelo leqembu. 

Ku-2020, amaqembu aphezulu ayi-10 athola isilinganiso sokunemba esingaphezu kuka-70% ngezinga le-YES / NO lokushaya, ukunemba kwendawo ephezulu, nobukhulu. 

Njengamanje, ithimba le-AETA lethule umncintiswano omusha wango-2021, limema umphakathi wamazwe omhlaba ukuthi ubhalise futhi ubambe iqhaza. Ukubhaliswa kwemincintiswano ka-2021 kuvulekile futhi izohlala kuze kube ngumhlaka 31 Mashi.

Uhlelo lwezinzwa lwe-AETA lwasungulwa ngu I-SVV, ukuthuthukiswa kwe-hardware okugxile emisha, nenkampani yokukhiqiza. Ngaphezu kwalokho, iphrojekthi ye-AETA idonsele ukunakwa yi-CSDN, iCapgemini, nezinye izikhungo eziningi. 

Ithimba le-AETA, kanye nozakwethu, basamile kwelokuthi sizoxazulula impicabadala yokubikezela ukuzamazama komhlaba, futhi siqale ukunweba lesi sixazululo emhlabeni wonke, sisindise izigidi zabantu esikhathini esizayo. 

I-China izwe elinokuzamazama komhlaba okuvamile nezindawo ezinamaphutha ezisatshalaliswa kabanzi. Ukuzamazama komhlaba, ikakhulukazi ukuzamazama komhlaba okukhulu, kungadala umonakalo ongenakubalwa ezimpilweni zabantu nasempahleni yabo uma kwenzeka ezindaweni ezinabantu abaningi abantu bengazi. Kuyinselele kakhulu futhi kunenani elikhulu lesayensi nokubaluleka kwezenhlalo ukwenza umsebenzi wokucwaninga wokubheka okwandulelayo, ukuhlaziywa kokuhlobana, ukucwaninga kwangaphambi kokusebenza nokuzamazama komhlaba imodeli yokubikezela izinto ezintathu ezizungeze isixazululo sokubikezela kokuzamazama komhlaba nenkinga yesibikezelo.

I-Earthquake Monitoring and Prediction Technology Research Center yasePeking University Shenzhen Graduate School isungule ukuphazamiseka kwamandla kagesi okubanzi kanye nohlelo lokuqapha i-geo-acoustic, olubizwa nge-multi-component ukuzamazama komhlaba nohlelo lokubikezela i-AETA.

I-AETA, emfushane nge-Acoustic & Electromagnetism To AI, uhlelo lufaka:

  • iphenyo eyodwa yenzwa ye-acoustic: ukuqoqa idatha ye-geo-acoustic
  • iphenyo eyodwa yenzwa kagesi: ukuqoqa idatha yokuphazamiseka kagesi
  • idivayisi eyodwa yokugcina: ixhuma kuzinzwa ezimbili ngekhebula, ngenqubo yedatha, ukugcina okwesikhashana nokulayisha (ngentambo, i-wifi noma inethiwekhi ye-3 / 4G)
  • ukugcina idatha: njengamanje usebenzisa i-AliCloud

Kusukela ngo-2016, kusetshenziswe amasethi angama-300 kwezinye zezindawo ezisebenza kakhulu ukuzamazama komhlaba eChina, okukhona kuzo amasethi angama-240 eSichuan / Yunnan nasezifundazweni ezingomakhelwane, namasethi angama-60 kwezinye izindawo. Izinhlelo eziningi zizosatshalaliswa ngokushesha lapho kutholakala imali eyengeziwe. Njengamanje, i-38TB yedatha isiqoqiwe, futhi i-20GB yedatha iqoqwa nsuku zonke. Sithole ezinye izici zesiginali ezihlobene nokuzamazama komhlaba okunezimpawu zokuzamazama komhlaba okuseduze. Ngokuya ngalokhu okutholakele, ukubikezelwa okuzamazama komhlaba okunamandla kwenziwa. Yize sekunenqubekelaphambili eseyenziwe, isisombululo senkinga yokubikezela ukuzamazama komhlaba kanye nokuqagela kudinga ukuhlaziywa nokunye kocwaningo.

Injongo

"Umncintiswano we-AETA Earthquake Prediction AI Algorithm Competition" uhlose ukumba ukuhlobana phakathi kwedatha yokubuka eyandulelayo nokuzamazama komhlaba ngezinto ezintathu ngokusebenzisa ama-algorithms amasha, ukuthola amasignali angajwayelekile nezici ezihlobene nokuzamazama komhlaba okusondelayo, nokwakha amamodeli okubikezela ukuzamazama komhlaba asuselwa kudatha yokubuka komhlaba nekhathalogi yokuzamazama komhlaba, ku ithemba lokukhuthaza ikhambi lezinkinga zesayensi zokubikezela komhlaba nokuzimisela. Ngasikhathi sinye, siyathemba futhi ukuthi ngalo mncintiswano, ukubhekelelwa nokubamba iqhaza okukhulu kwabantu abavela kuzo zonke izizinda zempilo kuyabandakanyeka futhi ubuchwepheshe obengeziwe bezindlela nezindlela kuzosetshenziswa ekubikezelweni komhlaba kanye nasezibikezelweni.

Inkinga Nemininingwane

Isibikezelo sokuzamazama komhlaba kwesonto elizayo ngeSonto ngalinye ngokuya ngemininingwane engokomlando evela kunethiwekhi ye-AETA eSichuan naseYunnan esifundeni. Ubukhulu bokuzamazama komhlaba okuqondiswe kukho kufanele bulingane noma bube bukhulu kuno-3.5. Isifunda okubhekiswe kuso ngu-22 ° N -34 ° N, 98 ° E -107 ° E. Ukuzamazama komhlaba okunobukhulu obungu-3.5 noma obukhulu endaweni ebhekiswe kuyo, ngeke kubalwe uma singekho isiteshi se-AETA esingamakhilomitha ayi-100.

Idatha yokuqeqesha yokwakhiwa kwemodeli

Izinhlobo ezingama-91 zedatha yesici sokuphazamiseka kwe-electromagnetic ne-geo-acoustic zizonikezwa wonke amaqembu. Isikhathi sesikhathi sedatha ngayinye yimizuzu eyi-10 emakwe isitembu sesikhathi. Ukucaciswa kwezinhlobo ezingama-91 zedatha yesici kuzocaciswa kufayela elingifundwayo. Isikhathi sedatha sivela ngo-Okthoba 1th 2016 kuya kuDisemba 31th 2020. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ikhathalogu lokuzamazama komhlaba lezehlakalo ze- .3.5 zokuzamazama komhlaba esifundeni esihlosiwe nalo liyanikezwa. Ikhathalogi yokuzamazama komhlaba ivela eChina Earthquake Network Center (CENC, http://news.ceic.ac.cn)

Idatha yesikhathi sangempela yokubikezela

Kusukela ngoJanuwari 1, 2021, izinhlobo ezingama-91 zedatha yokuphazamiseka kwe-electromagnetic ne-geo-acoustic zizobuyekezwa isonto ngalinye. Amaqembu angalanda idatha ngeviki. Kunezindlela ezimbili zokulanda idatha. Enye ukulanda idatha kuwebhusayithi ngesandla. Enye ukulanda idatha ngokuzenzakalela ngokungena ngemvume kwiseva yedatha ngohlelo olusebenzayo oluzonikezwa umphathi. Ukubikezelwa kwesonto ngalinye nakho kungathunyelwa ngezindlela ezimbili njengokulanda idatha

LOKHO ONGAKUTHATHE KULESI SIHLOKO:

  • It is very challenging and of great scientific value and social significance to carry out the research work of precursor observation, correlation analysis, precursor mechanism research and earthquake three-element prediction model around the solution of earthquake prediction and forecast problem.
  • Eminyakeni emi-4 eyedlule, ithimba le-AETA selifakele ngaphezu kwama-300 + ama-3-sensory systems, asetshenziselwe ukuqoqa imininingwane yama-acoustics ne-electromagnetic fields ezindaweni ezithinteke ukuzamazama komhlaba ikakhulukazi esifundeni saseSichuan, okwamanje kuqoqwe idatha engaphezulu kwe-40TB.
  • Ngale datha, iqembu likwazile ukuqeqesha ama-algorithms awo ukuhlela idatha edlule eyaholela, ngesikhathi, nangemva kokuzamazama komhlaba, ifundisa i-algorithm ukubikezela ukuzamazama komhlaba okuzayo kusetshenziswa idatha yesikhathi sangempela.

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UJuergen T Steinmetz

UJuergen Thomas Steinmetz ubelokhu esebenza ngokuqhubekayo embonini yezokuvakasha nezokuvakasha kusukela esemusha eJalimane (1977).
Wasungula eTurboNews ngo-1999 njengencwajana yokuqala ye-inthanethi embonini yezokuvakasha yezokuvakasha emhlabeni jikelele.

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