Ukuhamba ngezindiza kwamanye amazwe kusadlondlobala

Ezinyangeni eziyisishiyagalombili zokuqala zika-2019 (Jan-Aug), ukuhamba kwamazwe omhlaba inyuke ngo-4.9% ngesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule. Okuhle nakakhulu, ukubhukha uhambo kulezi zinyanga ezintathu ezilandelayo (Sep-Nov) njengamanje kungaphambili ngo-7.6% lapho bekukhona ekupheleni kuka-August 2018.

Umbiko oyisipesheli, ohambisana noSuku Lomhlaba Lwezokuvakasha, uveze ukuthi liyadlondlobala uhambo lwezindiza emhlabeni wonke. Ikhiqizwe ngabakwaForwardKeys, ababikezela ukuhamba kwesikhathi esizayo amaphethini ngokuhlaziya inhlanganisela engenakuqhathaniswa yedatha yokuhamba, okuhlanganisa ukusesha kwendiza okungaphezu kwezigidi ezingu-24 kanye nokuthenga kokubhuka ngosuku.

U-Olivier Ponti, i-VP Insights, i-ForwardKeys, uthe: “U-2019 usube, futhi usezoba omunye unyaka omuhle kakhulu kwezokuvakasha nezokuvakasha, emhlabeni jikelele. Lezo yizindaba ezinhle ngoba ezokuvakasha nezokuvakasha ziwumshayeli obalulekile wemali engenayo yokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kanye nokuchuma okuvamile, emhlabeni jikelele. Engikuthola kuphawuleka ngokukhethekile ukuqina kwemboni lapho ibhekene nezenzakalo ezimbalwa ezingase zibe zimbi njengeBrexit, impi yezohwebo yase-China yase-US kanye neziyaluyalu zezombusazwe e-Hong Kong naseMpumalanga Ephakathi.

I-ForwardKeys ifaka umbiko omuhle ekukhuleni komnotho okuzinzile emhlabeni wonke, amanani aphakathi nendawo kawoyela kanye nokuguqulwa kwemithetho ye-visa. Kuwo wonke lo nyaka, i-IMF ibikezele ukukhula komhlaba wonke ngo-2019 kuzoba ngaphezu kwama-3%. Izinkampani zezindiza ziphendule ngokwandisa umthamo, ikakhulukazi phakathi kwe-Afrika neNyakatho Melika, wenyuka ngo-17.9%. Naphezu kokuhlaselwa kwakamuva kwezindawo zokucubungula zaseSaudi, intengo kawoyela isengaphansi kwenani eliphakeme kulo nyaka futhi ingaphansi kakhulu kwenani eliphakeme ngo-2018. Intengo kawoyela ephansi iyasiza emnothweni womhlaba wonke, kodwa izuzisa izindiza ngokungafani, njengoba kwenza uwoyela. okungenani ingxenye yesihlanu yezindleko zendiza evamile. Eminyakeni embalwa edlule, kube nokuphumula okuningi ezidingweni zama-visa emazweni ahlukene, konke okube nomthelela ekwenzeni ukuhamba kube lula.

Ngokombono wendawo, isifunda sase-Asia Pacific besihamba phambili. Ukusuka kwamanye amazwe ezinyangeni eziyisishiyagalombili zokuqala zika-2019 kukhuphuke ngo-7.9%. I-Afrika isendaweni yesibili; ukusuka ngoJanuwari-Aug bekukhuphuke ngo-6.0%. Amazwe aseMelika naseYurophu asendaweni yesithathu neyesine, abhalise ukukhula ngo-August ngo-4.6% no-4.5% ngokulandelana. Isifunda somhlaba ebesidonsa kanzima yiMpumalanga Ephakathi; ukusuka kwamanye amazwe ngo-Jan-Aug kwehle ngo-1.7%.

Ukukhula okugqamile ezinyangeni eziyisishiyagalombili zokuqala kube kusuka e-Asia Pacific kuya e-Europe, kwenyuke ngo-10.4%, kusuka e-Afrika kuya emazweni aseMelika, kwenyuke ngo-10.1% nokusuka eYurophu kuya eMpumalanga Ephakathi kukhuphuke ngo-9.7%. Izinto ezibangela lezi zindlela kube yimakethe eqinile yaseShayina ephumayo, ukwanda okunonya kwe-Ethiopian Airlines, okwandisa imvamisa yezindiza zayo eziya eNew York, kanye nokusimama okuqhubekayo kwezokuvakasha e-Egypt, eyalinyazwa kakhulu izehlakalo zobuphekula ngo-2015.

Uma sibheka phambili enkathini ezayo yezinyanga ezintathu, September kuya kuNovember, i-Afrika ihamba phambili; ukubhukha okuya phambili kuku-9.8% ngaphambi kwalapho bekukhona ekupheleni kuka-Agasti wonyaka odlule. I-Europe isendaweni yesibili, ngokubhukha phambili ngo-8.3%. Ilandelwa yi-Asia Pacific kanye neMelika, ngokubhukha okuya phambili okuhamba phambili ngo-7.6% no-6.0% ngokulandelanayo. I-Middle East iyi-laggard, lapho ukubhukha ukuya phambili ku-2.9%.

Izitayela ezithembisayo kakhulu zokubhukha uhambo oluzayo esikhathini sikaSepthemba-Novemba zisuka emazweni aseMelika ziye eMpumalanga Ephakathi, ngaphambi kuka-18.4%, ukusuka eYurophu ukuya eMpumalanga Ephakathi, ngaphambi kuka-14.2% nokusuka e-Afrika ukuya eYurophu, ngaphambi kuka-15.2%. Izinto ezihamba phambili wukusimama kwe-Egypt kanye ne-Ethiopian Airlines iqhubeka nokuthuthukisa indawo yayo yokuhlala.

U-Olivier Ponti waphetha: “Uma ngibheka phambili, ngibona izinkomba ezimbili eziphikisanayo. Ukubhukha okuya phambili kuhle kakhulu kodwa izehlakalo zezwe zepolitiki zihlala zikhathaza kakhulu.”