Ukuvakasha kwamazwe omhlaba kubuyele kuma-48%, 74% noma 96% ngo-2023?

1. Kunezimo ezintathu ngokusho kocwaningo olukhishwe namhlanje yiPATA ngonyaka ka-2023. Isimo esihle kakhulu silindele ukuthi u-96% wezokuvakasha ubuye emuva ngokususelwa ku-2019
2. I-China, i-Hong Kong, i-USA, ne-Thailand - ngobani abazonqoba, ngobani abazoba yi-looers?
3. Umphathi we-PATA uthembele emithini yokugoma ukuthi itholakale ngokukhululeka futhi imishanguzo iyaqhubeka ngokushesha, kepha noma kunjalo, futhi ngenkathi imiphumela yokuqala ikhuthaza kakhulu, ukusebenza kwabo ngaphezu kwenani elibanzi labantu kusazokhonjiswa ngokuphelele.

Ngo-2023 iNyakatho Melika, iCaribbean neNingizimu Melika bangamukela u-96.5% wabo bonke abavakashi bamazwe aphesheya uma beqhathaniswa no-2019. Ngo-2022 leli nani lingaba ngama-61.3% kanye nama-27.7% kulo nyaka. Lesi yisimo sephupho esikhishwe yi I-Pacific Asia Travel Association (i-PATA) namuhla.

Isithombe esingokoqobo yisimo esiphakathi nendawo lapho u-77.3% wabavakashi bamazwe aphesheya babuyela ku-2023, 47% emuva ku-2002, futhi yi-19.1% kuphela kulo nyaka.

Ngokuya ngokuthuthuka ngeCoronavirus isibalo esibi kakhulu singalinganisa u-54.7% emuva ngo-2023, 47% 32.3% ngo-2022 no-14.3% kulo nyaka ngo-2021.
Lokhu kungumbiko ogcwele we Ukubikezelwa Kwezivakashi Ze-Asia Pacific 2021-2023 ekhishwe namuhla yiPacific Asia Travel Association (PATA), lapho kwenziwa khona amathuba amathathu okukhula kwabavakashi bamazwe aphesheya nasezindaweni ezingama-39 zase-Asia Pacific, ahlanganisa izimo ezimnene, eziphakathi nendawo nezinzima. 

Kunokwehluka impela esifundeni ngasinye se-Asia Pacific futhi, ngokwesibonelo iPacific, kulindeleke ukuthi yeqe ivolumu ka-2019 yabantu abafikayo bakwamanye amazwe kuleso sifunda ngamaphesenti angaphezu kwamabili ku-2023.

Ngaphansi kwesimo esiphakathi nendawo, lelo nani kulindeleke ukuthi lifinyelele cishe kuma-78% ngenkathi ngaphansi kwesimo esinzima kungenzeka lihlale kuma-52% kuphela wevolumu ka-2019. Amazwe aseMelika asesimweni esicishe sifane, noma kunjalo, njengoba inani lama-2023 lama-IVAs ahlobene nalawo we-2019 kusalindelwe ukuthi lizehlele ngaphansi kwesimo esincanyana yize kuphela ngomkhawulo omncane.

Izimo eziphakathi nezimbi kakhulu zehlisa ukwehla okufanayo kokulingana kwama-IVA ku-2023 ngokuya nge-2019, kulawo asePacific. I-Asia, eyaziwa njengendlu yamandla yokufika kwamazwe omhlaba angene nangaphesheya kwesifunda sase-Asia Pacific izobhekana nezibalo ezifanayo nalokho okulindelwe emazweni aseMelika ngaphansi kwesimo esingesihle. Kodwa-ke, izimo eziphakathi nezimbi zingabuyela emuva kakhulu. Esimweni sokugcina ngokwesibonelo, amaphrojekthi wokubika ama-IVA angena nakuyo yonke i-Asia Pacific angahlehlehle abe ngaphansi kwengxenye yevolumu ka-2019 ngo-2023.

Okukhathaza ngokushesha, kuzo zonke izifunda ezingaphansi kwe-Asia Pacific ngaphansi kwalezi zimo, u-2021 kungenzeka ube ngomunye unyaka onzima ekuhambeni kwamazwe omhlaba. Noma ikuphi ukukhula kungenzeka kungalingani ngokwedlulele, futhi kwezinye izifunda ezingaphansi zingaphansi kwamazinga ka-2019 ngisho nalezo zango-2020.

INingizimu ne-Asia ikakhulukazi, ngaphansi kwalesi simo esincane, kulindeleke ukuthi ilahlekelwe ama-IVA amaningi ngokwengeziwe ngokulingana kwayo ne-2019, iwele cishe ku-14% ngo-2021, ngaphambi kokuphindaphinda ngamandla ngo-2022 nango-2023. Ngaphansi kwesimo esimaphakathi, izifunda eziningi ezingafinyelela kuzo kulindeleke ukuthi zehle ngokuqhubeka ngo-2021 ngokuya ngo-2019, ngaphambi kokuphendukela kokunye ukululama ngo-2022 nango-2023.

Ngaphezu kwalokho, i-2021 kulindeleke ukuthi ibe yinselelo emangalisayo ngaphansi kwesimo esinzima.

Ezingeni lokuya khona, izimakethe ezinhlanu eziphezulu zase-Asia Pacific ngokwevolumu yama-IVAs atholakalayo azishintshi kangako ngokubaluleka futhi zibamba izikhundla ezinzile ngaphansi kwesimo ngasinye. Ngenkathi kunezinguquko ezithile ze-oda, lezi zincane. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngaphansi kwesimo ngasinye, izindawo ezinhlanu eziphezulu zivame ukuphendula ngaphezu kwengxenye yama-IVA esewonke esifundeni.

Okuthakazelisa ukuthola ukuthi iChina yawa esikhundleni sayo sokubusa ngo-2020, kodwa kulindeleke ukuthi iphinde ithole lesi sikhundla kusuka ngo-2021 kuya phambili. Ngaphansi kwesimo esinzima, lokhu kuthatha isikhashana lapho iChina ibuyela endaweni yokuqala ngo-2022. Ngokufanayo, iHong Kong SAR, okuthi ngemuva kokuwela endaweni yeshumi nambili kuklelisa ngowezi-12, kulindeleke ukuthi ibuyele endaweni yesithathu ngo-2020, kungakhathalekile isimo. Ngaphezu kwalokho, leli qembu lezindawo ezinhlanu ezihamba phambili liba likhulu ngokwamagama, ngo-2021 okungenani, njengoba izimo zishintsha ukusuka kumnene ukuya kokuphakathi bese kuba nzima.

Eminyakeni edlule kuya ku-2023, leli qembu livame ukubuyela cishe kumasheya we-pre-COVID-19 ahlobene. Esikhathini eside, izifunda eziyisihlanu zomthombo ezihamba phambili nezimbhangqwana zokuya ngokunyuka kwevolumu phakathi kuka-2020 no-2023, kulindeleke ukuthi zihlale zikulowo nalowo mgomo ngaphansi kwazo zonke lezi zimo ezintathu yize ukukhuphuka kwenani eliphelele labafikile bangaphandle kuguquka ngokusobala.

Iqembu lesihlanu eliphakeme lenyuka ngokubaluleka okulinganiselwe njengoba izimo zishintsha, zisuka cishe ku-48% wokwanda kwe-IVA ngokuphelele ngaphansi kwesimo esiphansi kuya ku-49% ngaphansi kwesilinganiso kanye nama-52% ngaphansi kwesimo esibi.  Isikhulu esiphezulu sePATA uDkt Mario Hardy uthe, “Unyaka wekhalenda u-2021 kungenzeka ube nzima ezindaweni eziningi, cishe cishe u-40% wezindawo ezingama-39 ezihlanganiswe kulezi zibikezelo zehla kakhulu ukusuka endaweni ephansi yezinombolo zokufika ngo-2020, noma ngaphansi kwesimo esingesihle . Endabeni yesimo esiphakathi nendawo, lelo nani kungenzeka likhuphuke liye kuma-85% kanti ngaphansi kwesimo esibi kungenzeka ukuthi kube njalo kuzo zonke izindawo ezingama-39. ” "Kusobala ukuthi kuzodingeka futhi ukuqiniswa kwamabhande emkhakheni wamazwe omhlaba, lapho kudingeka khona izinto ezintsha ezintsha ekuthuthukiseni lokho okutholakala emkhakheni wezasekhaya," engeza. UDkt Hardy uphethe ngokukhumbuza umkhakha wezokuvakasha ukuthi, "Imithi yokugoma isiyatholakala ngokukhululeka futhi imishanguzo iyaqhubeka ngokushesha, kodwa noma kunjalo, futhi ngenkathi imiphumela yokuqala ikhuthaza kakhulu, ukusebenza kwawo ngaphezu kwenani labantu kusamele kuboniswe ngokuphelele . Kungenzeka kakhulu ukuthi abahambi ngokuzayo kuzodingeka baphathe ubufakazi bokuthi bafakwe i-inoculation futhi bakhululeke ku-COVID-19, into ama-ejensi ahlukahlukene kanye nezindiza ezindizayo ebezithuthukisa futhi esezikunqobile. Noma ngabe yimuphi umphumela, ukuhamba ngeke kuphinde kufane futhi akukho okunye esingakwenza ngaphandle kokuzivumelanisa nokuzivumelanisa nalokho. ”