Ikusasa lomnotho womhlaba liyisihloko esibalulekile senkulumompikiswano nezingxoxo ku-World Travel Market 2008 (WTM). NgoLwesine, mhla ziyi-13 kuLwezi kuzobe kusingathwa i-WTM Global Economic Forum ehlinzeka abaphathi abakhulu bezokuvakasha nezokuvakasha ngokubheka kabanzi isimo somnotho womhlaba siqhubekela phambili ku-2009-2010.
Usomnotho omkhulu weDeutsche Bank Group, uSolwazi uDkt. Norbert Walter uzonikeza inkulumo eyisihluthulelo, elandelwa uchungechunge lwezethulo ezinokuqonda ezivela kochwepheshe abahamba phambili bezomnotho embonini yezokuvakasha okuhlanganisa noJean Claude Baumgarten, umongameli kanye ne-COO yeWorld Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC); Umxhumanisi Omkhulu Wemboni Yezindiza uJohn Strickland kanye nosihlalo we-Oxford and Tourism Economics uJohn Walker. Lo mcimbi uzobe uholwa yizintatheli zangaphambili zezomnotho kanye nomsakazi weBBC yanamuhla neNewsnight Peter Hobday.
Ukuhlola izindikimba ezimbalwa, umbuzo oyinhloko isithangami esizowuphenya futhi esifuna ukuwuphendula - ingabe imboni isempambana-mgwaqo? Njengoba amazwe amaningi emhlabeni wonke eqala ukuba nenkinga yokuwohloka komnotho, kusho ukuthini lokhu embonini yezokuvakasha; ingabe kuzoba inkathi lapho kuzosinda kuphela abahlomeke kakhulu futhi abazilungiselele? Iphaneli ye-WTM Global Economic Forum izohlose ukuphendula le mibuzo ebalulekile.
Esebenzisa ulwazi lwakhe njengosomnotho omkhulu i-Deutsche Bank Group eminyakeni eyi-15 edlule, isikhulumi esiqavile uProfesa uDkt. Norbert Walter uzonikeza ababambiqhaza isithombe esijwayelekile somnotho womhlaba maduzane. USolwazi Walter waphawula, “Yonke iminotho emikhulu ibhekene nezingozi ezingezinhle zokukhula kanye nezingozi ezikhuphukayo zokwehla kwamandla emali, kodwa amandla ashintshashintsha kakhulu. Umnotho wase-US ukhula ngaphansi kwamandla awo ngenxa yenkinga ye-sub-prime futhi amazwe amaningana aseYurophu asonqenqemeni lokuwohloka komnotho ngenxa yokulungiswa okudingekayo emkhakheni wabo wokwakha kanye nezakhiwo. Izimakethe ezisafufusa zimi kahle ngokumangalisayo, kodwa ukwehla kwamandla emali okuphakeme kakhulu okudinga amanani enzalo aphezulu kuqeda ukukhula. Amazwe athumela impahla ecebile azolinganisa ukuthambekela kokwehla. Isisindo sabo somnotho sincane kakhulu ukugwema ukwehla okuqhubekayo ngo-2009. "
Usihlalo weForamu u-Peter Hobday uzosingatha ingqungquthela evusa inkulumo-mpikiswano futhi abuze imibuzo esigungwini sochwepheshe ukuze sixoxe futhi sinikeze ngamabomu ukuqonda okubalulekile kubahlanganyeli. “Njengomnotho womhlaba, njengamanje sibhekene nesikhathi esibucayi, sibheka izindaba ezisematheni - amanani kagesi ayenyuka, kunovalo lokuwohloka komnotho emhlabeni wonke, izimakethe zamasheya ziyaqhubeka nokuhlupheka - konke lokhu kudla ngokuphelelwa ithemba kwabatshalizimali kanye nokwehla kwezikweletu. ikhuthaze abamabhange ukuthi baqhubeke ngokuqapha nokutshala imali kunoma yini eyingozi. Noma ubani embonini yezokuvakasha - izindiza, amahhotela, izindawo zokungcebeleka, abaqhubi bezokuvakasha kanye nezintshisekelo zabahlinzeki abathembele kuzo - usendaweni ethize. Manje yisikhathi lapho kusinda kuphela abaqine kunabo bonke… kodwa yini oyidingayo ukubhekana nalezi zinkinga, ukuze uqiniseke ukuthi ufanelekile hhayi nje ukuze uphile kodwa mhlawumbe nokuze uphumelele? Leyo yimibuzo esizobe sixoxa ngayo nezimboni ezihamba phambili kanye nabantu bezezimali ku-WTM Global Economic Forum. Inhloso ingaphezu nje kwengxoxo; sizobe sifuna izeluleko nezisombululo ezisebenzayo.” kusho usihlalo weForamu, uPeter Hobday.
Ngokuhlinzeka ngezibalo nezinombolo eziqinile, usihlalo we-Oxford Economics and Tourism Economics uJohn Walker uzothatha izethameli ngombono wezomnotho wale mboni, ahlole izitayela zesikhathi esizayo ezibikezelwe. “Njengoba umnotho waseYurophu naseMelika ubhekene nezinkinga eziqhubekayo ngezinhlobo zokwehla kwamandla emali kanye nesidingo esibuthakathaka sabathengi, imboni yezokuvakasha ibhekene nezinselelo ezivuselelwe. Kodwa-ke, sikholelwa ukuthi kukhona amathuba ahlukile okwandisa isabelo semakethe ngaphakathi kwendawo yamanje ngokugxila ezimakethe ezibalulekile. Ngijabule ngethuba lokwabelana ngolunye ucwaningo lwakamuva mayelana namathemba okukhula kohambo onyakeni ozayo. Sethemba ukuthi lezi zizosebenza njengezinkomba kubahambeli be-WTM njengoba becubungula amasu abo emakethe ka-2009 no-2010,” kusho uJohn Walker.
Uma sibheka isimo samanje semboni yezindiza, u-John Strickland uzochaza ukuxhumana phakathi kwemboni nezinselelo zayo zamanje, ngokuhlobene nemithelela lokhu okuba nayo emnothweni womhlaba. “Asikaze sibe khona isikhathi esifanele sokubheka imboni yezindiza esimweni esibanzi somnotho womhlaba. Izinkampani zezindiza zidlala indima ekhulayo nebalulekile ekusebenzeni kwezomnotho zanamuhla emhlabeni jikelele. Abagcini nje ngokusiza ukuthintana kwezamabhizinisi ubuso nobuso, okubalulekile ekubhidlizeni izithiyo zamasiko nezokuxhumana kanye nokwakha ukwethembana, kodwa baletha ukuthuthukiswa okukhulu kwezokuvakasha ezingxenyeni eziningi zomhlaba, kudala izinkulungwane zemisebenzi ebingeke ibe khona. Nokho ngenxa yalesi sizinda, izinkampani zezindiza zithwele kanzima ngenxa yokukhuphuka kwentengo kaphethiloli, ukuncipha kwesidingo kanye nokugxeka okwandayo kwemininingwane yazo yezemvelo. Kufanele kube nenkulumo-mpikiswano ephusile, eqaphela ukuthi izinkampani zezindiza azizona 'izinto ozikhethela zona' emhlabeni wanamuhla, kuyilapho zisebenza ngendlela eyakhayo ukuze ziqinisekise ukuthi zingenza umnikelo okhulayo ekwehliseni ukukhishwa kwesisi esingcolisa umoya,” kutusa u-John Strickland.
Ukuhlanganisa ithimba, elimele izwi elihlangene labaholi bamabhizinisi embonini yezokuvakasha nezokuvakasha kuzo zonke izindaba eziphathelene nezokuvakasha nezokuvakasha, umongameli kanye ne-COO yoMkhandlu Wezokuvakasha Nezokuvakasha (World Travel and Tourism Council)WTTC) UJean Claude Baumgarten uzophonsela inselelo izibalo nezibalo ezethulwe ezinikeza ukuqonda kulokho ezikushoyo embonini njengeqoqo. UJean Claude Baumgarten waphawula, “Naphezu kokuwohloka kwesimo somnotho ezinyangeni eziyishumi nambili ezidlule kanye nomthelela ongenakugwemeka lokhu okube nawo esidingweni sesikhashana sezokuvakasha, njengoba kubonakala ocwaningweni lwethu lwakamuva, amathemba okukhula kwesikhathi eside kwezokuvakasha nezokuvakasha asekhona. kuhle. Kubalulekile ukuthi ohulumeni babone la mandla okukhula futhi, okubaluleke kakhulu, ikhono lezokuvakasha kanye nelokuvula amathuba omsebenzi nokuchuma. Ngokuqinisekile akusona isikhathi sokuba ohulumeni bakhokhise izintela ezingafanele embonini ngomzamo wokudambisa izinkinga zabo zezimali.”
Yenzeka kuPlatinum Suite 4, inkundla izothatha amahora amabili iqala ngo-11:00 amahora. USolwazi Norbert Walter, isazi sezomnotho esiyinhloko eDeutsche Bank Group kanye nenhloko yeDeutsche Bank Research, uzonikeza inkulumo eyisihluthulelo elandelwa izethulo ezinemininingwane ezivela kuphaneli yochwepheshe - uJohn Walker, usihlalo we-Oxford kanye neTourism Economics; UJohn Strickland, umeluleki omkhulu wezindiza kanye noJean Claude Baumgarten, umongameli kanye ne-COO, iWorld Travel and Tourism Council. Iholwa nguPeter Hobday, iseshini yemibuzo nezimpendulo izolandela izethulo.
Early bird rates of £59 are available to book now at www.wtmlondon.com/gef . After September 30, the rate of £79 will apply and on the door admission will be charged at £99. For more information and details about the full WTM Seminar, conference and events program visit www.wtmlondon.com .
