I-Airbus SAS kanye ne-Boeing Co. ngokuvamile zicisha ama-oda endiza yendiza entsha e-Paris Air Show. Kulo nyaka kunzima ngokwanele nje ukugcina lezi asebenazo.
"Okubalulekile akukhona ukuthola ama-oda amasha kodwa ukugcina lawo esinawo futhi siwenze alethe," kusho isikhulu esiphezulu se-Airbus uTom Enders izolo engxoxweni ebiseLondon. Izinkampani zezindiza zimisa izindiza ngokushesha kunokuba zithwala izimpahla okokuqala okungenani eminyakeni eyi-10, kusho uRandy Tinseth, isikhulu sezokuthengisa eBoeing.
I-Boeing iqoqe ama-oda ayiziro ezinyangeni ezinhlanu zokuqala zonyaka njengoba izivumelwano zokuthenga ezingama-65 zabalwa ngenani elilinganayo lokukhanselwa. I-Airbus yayinama-oda ayi-11 ngemuva kokuthi angu-21 ehlisiwe. Lokho uma kuqhathaniswa nezivumelwano ezingu-884 ezihlangene enkathini efanayo ngonyaka odlule, ukuphela kwenkathi yokuthenga yeminyaka emine lapho izinkampani zezindiza zaphuthuma khona ukuyomisa izindiza ezonga uphethiloli phakathi nokukhuphuka kwentengo kawoyela.
Umbukiso waseParis uzoba yisisekelo sobufakazi bokuthi i-Airbus, inkampani enkulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni eyenza izindiza zezentengiselwano, kanye noNo. imiyalo.
Ukusebenza kwabakhiqizi kusetha ijubane kubakhi bezinjini, izingxenye ze-aerospace nezinye izindiza, abaphathi bazo abazokwehlela enhloko-dolobha yaseFrance ngomcimbi obanjwa njalo kabili, oqala ngoJuni 15.
'I-Drastic Oversupply'
"Isizinda siwukwehla kokuhamba kwezindiza okungenani okuphindwe kathathu kunanoma yisiphi isikhathi sezinyanga eziyi-12, okungenzeka kuhlanganiswe yinkinga yezimali engakaze ibonwe," kusho u-Nick Cunningham, umhlaziyi we-Evolution Securities Inc. "Ukukhiqiza kuzofanele kwehle kakhulu ukuze kugwenywe. ukugcwala ngokweqile kwamandla endiza.”
Imihlangano yenkampani iqala kusasa eParis, ngombukiso ozovula ngoJuni 15 embonini kanye noJuni 20-21 emphakathini. Izivakashi ezingaba ngu-150,000 kanye nabanye abantu abangu-250,000 bafika ngo-2007, unyaka wokugcina umcimbi wawuseParis. Isibalo sababukisi sizodlula i-2,000 okokuqala ngqa, nakuba kuzoba nezindiza ezimbalwa ezintsha ezethulwa, ngokusho kweqembu laseFrance elihlela lo mbukiso.
Njengoba izinkampani zezindiza zikhansela ama-oda, i-Airbus kanye ne-Boeing ezinze e-Chicago zizama ukugcwalisa izikhala zokulethwa kwamanye amakhasimende azimisele ukwamukela izindiza ngaphambi kwesikhathi. Izinkampani zinomsebenzi owanele wokuzigcina zimatasa okungenani iminyaka eyisikhombisa, futhi zombili zigcizelela ukuthi umbono wesikhathi eside uyancomeka.
Ngonyaka ka-2009, i-Toulouse, i-Airbus ezinze eFrance isahlela ukudiliva okungu-480, okuthathu kuphela ngaphansi kuka-2008, unyaka oyirekhodi. I-Boeing ihlela u-480 kuya ku-485, ibuyela endleleni yokukhula okwakuhloswe ngayo ngaphambi kokuba isiteleka sinciphise ukudiliva ngo-2008 kuya ku-375. Izindiza eziningi ezithunyelwa kulo nyaka zazixhaswe ngezimali ngaphambi kokudilizwa kwezikweletu.
Ukungabaza komhlinzeki
Ngo-2010, umbono awucaci kahle, njengoba abahlinzeki benethemba elincane kunabenzi bamandiza.
"Ngilindele ukuthi ukululama kumazinga ka-2008 kungathatha iminyaka eminingana," kusho isikhulu se-United Technologies Corp. uLouis Chenevert ngoMeyi 28 engqungqutheleni nabahlaziyi eNew York. Inkampani yakhe yakha izinjini ze-Pratt & Whitney jet futhi ingumnikazi we-Hamilton Sundstrand, eyenza izinhlelo zikagesi zezindiza.
I-Evolution's Cunningham yeluleka abatshalizimali ukuthi babheje esitokweni sabakhi bamabhanoyi manje, kunezinsuku ezimbalwa embukisweni waseParis, lapho ukuthengisa okufushane ngemva kwe-hoopla yezimemezelo ze-oda kube isu elivamile.
Ukwehla kwama-oda kuzolandelwa "ukwehla okukhulu" ekulethweni okusabalele eminyakeni emithathu kuya kwemine, kusho umhlaziyi. Uthanda ukuthengisa amasheya e-European Aeronautic, Defense & Space Co., umzali we-Airbus, futhi ugwema nomkhiqizi wezinjini iRolls-Royce Group Plc.
I-Air Travel Slump
UJohn Leahy, isikhulu esiphezulu se-Airbus, ubikezela ukuthi umphumela ngeke ushintshe kakhulu ngo-2010. I-Boeing ayizange inikeze isibikezelo. Abakhiqizi bahlela ukuncishiswa kokukhiqiza okulinganiselwe, noma ngabe izimoto zezindiza zehla.
Ukuwa kukhiqize ukulahlekelwa ezinkampanini zezindiza ezihlanganisa i-Cathay Pacific Airways kanye ne-Air France-KLM Group, okubangele ukuthi izinkampani zezindiza zehlise umthamo kanye nemali yokugibela. Akusona isimo sezulu sokuthenga indiza.
I-Singapore Airlines Ltd. ithi izohamba ngezindiza ze-mothball uma ingakwazi ukuzithengisa noma ukuziqashisa. IBritish Airways Plc imisa izindiza futhi inciphisa izindawo zokuhlala zasebusika ngamaphesenti ama-4. I-Southwest Airlines Co., inkampani ethwala izaphulelo enkulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni, izokwehlisa umthamo ngamaphesenti angu-6 kulo nyaka.
Ukulahleka kwezindiza zomhlaba wonke kungase kufinyelele ku-$9 billion ngo-2009 njengoba imali engenayo yehla ngamaphesenti angu-15, kusho i-International Air Transport Association ngoJuni 8, okuphinda kabili isibikezelo sezinyanga ezintathu ubudala. Isikhulu Esiphezulu se-IATA u-Giovanni Bisignani uthe abenzi bezindiza bangase balethe izindiza ezimbalwa ngamaphesenti angu-30 ngo-2010 futhi kufanele banciphise ukukhiqizwa ngendlela efanele.
Umholi Wokuqashisa
Isibikezelo siseduze naleso esenziwe ngoFebhuwari yikhasimende elikhulu le-Boeing ne-Airbus, uSteven Udvar-Hazy, oyi-CEO ye-International Lease Finance Corp. Ubikezele ukuthi abenzi bezindiza bazonciphisa amaphesenti angu-35, kusukela ngekota yesine.
Abakhiqizi bayawenqaba lowo mbango, nokho idlanzana labaphakeli lenza izinhlelo eziphuthumayo zoshintsho olukhulu lwamanani.
“Kunokungabaza okukhulu esizindeni sokuhlinzeka ngokuthi i-Boeing izokwazi ukubamba izinga lokukhiqiza kulayini omncane, naphezu kokugcizelela kwabo ukuthi babhukhe ngokweqile izikhala zokukhiqiza,” kusho u-JB Groh, umhlaziyi we-DA Davidson & Co. eLake Oswego, Oregon.
I-GKN Plc, umkhiqizi omkhulu waseBrithani wezingxenye zezindiza, yabikezela ngoJanuwari ukuthi isidingo sezindiza eziphuma endaweni eyodwa sizokwehla maphakathi nonyaka. Izindiza ze-Narrowbody zifaka phakathi uchungechunge lwe-Boeing's 737 kanye ne-Airbus's A320, futhi zimele izingxenye ezimbili kwezintathu zokudiliva.
"Ama-Narrowbodies cishe indawo ezoshayeka," ngokuncipha ngamaphesenti angama-25 ngo-2010 nango-2011, kusho uZafar Kahn, umhlaziyi weSociete Generale eLondon.
Ukukhiqiza Okunensayo
I-Airbus ihlose ukunciphisa ukukhishwa kwanyanga zonke kwezindiza ze-A320-series ziye ku-34 zisuka ku-36, kusukela ngo-Okthoba. Futhi izomisa ukuphuma kwe-widebody A330s nama-A340s. I-Boeing inciphisa ukukhiqizwa kwama-777 ngamaphesenti angama-29 kuya kwabahlanu ngenyanga, kusukela phakathi nonyaka ka-2010, futhi izinga lokuhlehlisa likhuphuka ngama-767s kanye nama-747s.
Inkampani yaseMelika ithe emhlanganweni wangoMeyi 21 nabatshalizimali ukuthi ngeke kudingeke ukuthi ibuyekeze izinhlelo ezincane. Abahlaziyi basho okuhlukile, okungenani abahlanu babikezela ngakusasa ukuthi i-Boeing izomemezela ukuncishiswa kwamanani angu-737 kulo nyaka.
I-Boeing yehlise ukubikezela kwayo kokukhula kweminyaka engu-20 yokulethwa kwezindiza zezentengiselwano izolo, yathi kuzoba nemakethe yezindiza ezintsha ezingama-29,000, noma ngaphansi kwamaphesenti angu-1.4 kunenombolo eyayibikezelwe ngonyaka odlule. Le nkampani inyuse isibikezelo ngamaphesenti ayi-14 eminyakeni emithathu edlule.
“Angisishintshi isibikezelo sethu, futhi angisho ukuthi sizozimangaza, kodwa senza njalo,” kusho isikhulu sezokukhangisa uTinseth engxoxweni.
I-Quiet Rumor Mill
Noma kunjalo, kunenani eliphansi ngokungavamile lokuqagela mayelana nezinkontileka zenkontileka ezihlelelwe iParis, kusho uCunningham. I-Airbus ne-Boeing iveze ama-oda ahlanganisiwe angama-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-64 ngonyaka odlule eFarnborough, eNgilandi, eshintshana neParis njengombukiso womoya wokuqala wase-Europe.
I-Middle East ibilokhu ishayela ama-oda eminyakeni yamuva, njengoba abathwali abahlanganisa i-Emirates, i-Qatar Airways Ltd. kanye ne-Etihad Airways begcwalise izincwadi zama-oda e-Airbus ne-Boeing ukuze kwandiswe ama-hubs e-Dubai nase-Abu Dhabi.
E-Farnborough, i-Etihad iyalele izindiza ze-Airbus ezinenani lama-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-10.7 kanye namajethi e-Boeing abiza u-$9 billion. I-Dubai Aerospace Enterprises, umqashisi ongaphansi kukahulumeni, uqinisekise izindiza zezindiza ze-Airbus eziyi-100 zenani lamaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-13.
Isimo sokuthengiswa kwezindiza silinga ezinye izinkampani zezindiza ukuthi zibuyele emakethe ngethemba lokuthi zingacindezela abakhiqizi ukuze bathole izaphulelo.
UHazy we-ILFC uthe ngoJuni 8 uzonyusa ama-oda ngokulindela isidingo esikhulu sabathwali ukuze bashintshe amamodeli amadala. U-Hazy ubehlele ukuthenga okungu-150 ngo-2019 futhi angase anyuse inani ngamaphesenti angama-30 ezinyangeni eziyi-12 kuye kweziyi-18 ezizayo.
Futhi i-UAL Corp.'s United Airlines icele i-Airbus ne-Boeing ukuthi ifake isicelo sokuhlinzeka ngezindiza ezizothatha indawo yama-widebodies angu-111 kanye nama-narrowbodies angama-97 ama-Boeing 757. U-CEO u-Glenn Tilton ubalule isikhathi “esiyithuba” sokwenza lo myalelo, okungenzeka ukuthi ulinganiselwa ku-$20 billion. I-United ayikaze i-ode izindiza kusukela ngo-2001.
