Ngokusho the I-European Travel Commission's (ETC) umbiko wakamuva 'we-European Tourism Trends and Prospects', i-Europe ijabulele ukukhuphuka okunempilo okungu-4% kwabavakashi abafika ngo-2019 uma kuqhathaniswa no-2018. Nakuba izinga lokukhula belihamba kancane kuneminyaka edlule ezindaweni ezithile ngazinye, ukusebenza kwesifunda kukonke. ihlala endaweni enhle. Izibalo ezikhulayo zabavakashi abafikayo zingenisa imali futhi zisekela umsebenzi kanye nokutshalwa kwezimali e-Europe, akusebenzi nje kuphela njengesisusa sokukhula komnotho, kodwa futhi kufaka isandla nokubonisa ukubaluleka komphakathi namasiko esifundeni.
Montenegro, i-Turkey, ne-Lithuania zibhalise ukwenyuka kwamadijithi amabili kwabafikayo, kuyilapho i-Portugal, i-Serbia Slovakia ne-The Netherlands nazo zisebenze kahle kakhulu kunesilinganiso. Ukukhula ngo-21% kweMontenegro kunqandwe ukuxhunywa okukhulu nokutshalwa kwezimali kwingqalasizinda, kuyilapho iTurkey (+14%) izimisele ukutshala imali eningi futhi ihlukanise imisebenzi yayo yokugqugquzela ezokuvakasha ngo-2020 ngenhloso yokukhulisa umthamo nekhwalithi yezivakashi. Ukwenyuka kokuxhumana emoyeni kusize ukusebenza kwe-Lithuania (+10%), kuyilapho umklomelo wakamuva “weNdawo Efinyelelekayo Yezokuvakasha 2019” eya e-Portugal (+7%) ubonisa imizamo yezwe yokukhuthaza ezokuvakasha ezifinyelelekayo. Izinqubomgomo zokuphumula ze-Visa kanye nobudlelwano bebhizinisi bamazwe amabili phakathi kwezindawo okuyiwa kuzo nezimakethe zemithombo nakho kuyaqhubeka nokuba yizici ezibalulekile ekukhuthazeni ukuhamba, ikakhulukazi e-Serbia (+7%).
Nokho, akubanga kuhle kuzo zonke izindawo zase-Europe. E-Romania (-4%) ziqhubekile nezinselelo ezihlobene nengqalasizinda nokukhuthazwa kwezokuvakasha, kuyilapho ukushabalala kwe-WOW Air kanye ne-Krona eqinile kuchaza ukwehla okukhulu kwabafikayo e-Iceland (-14%).
Lo mbiko uhlanganisa nokuhlaziywa kwezintela zezokuvakasha futhi ugxile ekutheni lezo ntela zingakhokhiswa kanjani endaweni lapho ukuncintisana kuqede noma iyiphi enye indlela yokugqugquzela amanani.
Abahambi baseMelika abakhuthazwa indawo yezomnotho esekelayo, kanti izehlakalo ezingalindelekile kulindeleke ukuthi ziphazamise ukuhamba okuphumayo kwaseChina
Okutholwe yilo mbiko kusikisela ukuthi izimo zomnotho ezinhle e-US nazo ziyabakhuthaza abahambi. Izimo zezomnotho ezisekelayo ziye zakhuthaza inani ledola uma liqhathaniswa ne-euro, okwenza iYurophu yaba indawo yokuvakasha efinyelelekayo. Umnotho wase-US ubonisa izinga elimaphakathi lokukhula futhi, nakuba ukukhula kwe-GDP kulindeleke ukuthi kwehle kancane ngo-2020, amanani aphansi okuntuleka kwemisebenzi ahambisana nokukhuphuka kwamaholo asekele ukukhushulwa okukhulu kokusetshenziswa nokuzethemba kwabathengi. Izindawo eziningi zase-Europe ezirekhodwe zikhuphule izivakashi zase-US ezifikayo ekupheleni kuka-2019, ngokukhula okusheshayo okubhaliswe eTurkey (+30%), eCyprus (+27%) naseMontenegro (+26%).
Ngenkathi isivumelwano sokuhweba sase-US-China kulindeleke ukuthi sisize ukubuyisela ukuzethemba kwebhizinisi, izinselelo e-China zisalokhu zilandela ukuqubuka kwe-COVID-19 phakathi noNyaka Omusha Wakamuva, isizini ebalulekile yokuhamba. Nakuba kudingekile, izinyathelo ezisetshenziswayo zokuvimbela ukusabalala kwaleli gciwane (isb. ukuvinjelwa kohambo nokukhanselwa kwemizila) ziqinisa izinselelo nokukhathazeka ngomthelela wokuqubuka komkhakha wezokuvakasha womhlaba wonke futhi zimele ubungozi obukhulu ekudingweni kohambo lwaseChina ngo-2020. Ngokwesibikezelo seTourism Economics, izindawo zase-Europe zizobona abafika baseShayina ebangeni elingama-7% (okungenzeka kakhulu) kanye no-25% (icala eliphansi) lehle ngo-2020 uma kuqhathaniswa nesilinganiso sangaphambi kwenhlekelele. Konke okushiwoyo, u-2019 uqedele kakhulu uhambo lwamaShayina oluya e-Europe nedlanzana lezindawo zaseYurophu ezithola ukuthutheleka kwabahambi baseShayina, okuyiMontenegro (+83%), iSerbia (+39%), neMonaco (+38%).
Izinsongo zango-2020 namasu esikhathi esizayo empumelelo
Sekukonke, ezokuvakasha zaseYurophu zimelana nokudonswa kwezingozi ezinkulu zomhlaba wonke, okuhlanganisa ukukhathazeka ngokuwohloka komnotho womhlaba wonke noma izingxabano, izinkinga zezempilo zomhlaba wonke, ukusimama okuphakamisa ukukhathazeka nezinhlekelele zesimo sezulu. Ngaphandle kwalokhu, uMqondisi Omkhulu we-ETC u-Eduardo Santander ukhuthaza imboni yezokuvakasha ukuthi ihlale iqaphile: “Nakuba izingxabano zezohwebo zinciphile emhlabeni wonke kanye nokucaciswa okwengeziwe okuphathelene ne-Brexit, ubungozi obuphezulu ngeke bushaywe indiva. Umkhakha kufanele ufune ukunciphisa ngokumelene nalezi zingozi uma kubhekwa ukubaluleka kwezokuvakasha ekuthuthukisweni kwezomnotho nezenhlalakahle zaseYurophu. Ukwehlukanisa amasu okukhangisa nokukhangisa, ukubhekana nokushintsha kwendlela yokuziphatha kwabathengi, ukuqinisa ukusebenzisana phakathi kwezindawo okuyiwa kuzo kanye nokwandisa izinyathelo zokugqugquzela ukuthuthukiswa okusimeme kwezokuvakasha konke kungasiza izindawo okuyiwa kuzo ukuthi zihlale zincintisana ngokuhamba kwesikhathi.”
Unalokhu engqondweni, kubalulekile futhi ukuqaphela ukuthi ukukhula akusona isilinganiso sokugcina sempumelelo yemboni yezokuvakasha. Ukuthuthukiswa okusimeme kwendawo okuyiwa kuyo kuyadingeka ukuze ihlale inokuncintisana esikhathini eside futhi igweme ukuba yisisulu sempumelelo yayo. Umkhakha uzodinga ukuthuthukisa ukuqonda okusha kwempumelelo ukuya phambili.
LOKHO ONGAKUTHATHE KULESI SIHLOKO:
- Increasing numbers of tourist arrivals generate income and support employment and investment in Europe, not only acting as a catalyst for economic expansion, but also contributing to and demonstrating the social and cultural value in the region.
- The US economy is signalling a moderate rate of expansion and, although GDP growth is expected to slow somewhat in 2020, record low unemployment rates coupled with rising wages have supported a significant uplift in consumption and consumer confidence.
- Lo mbiko uhlanganisa nokuhlaziywa kwezintela zezokuvakasha futhi ugxile ekutheni lezo ntela zingakhokhiswa kanjani endaweni lapho ukuncintisana kuqede noma iyiphi enye indlela yokugqugquzela amanani.
