TAIPEI - Emashumini amabili eminyaka ngemuva kokuvumela abantu bayo nezinkampani ukuthi baye eChina, iTaiwan izivulela abatshalizimali kanye nezivakashi zaseShayina - umnyakazo ongathwala izinzuzo ezinkulu zezomnotho kodwa futhi ogcwele ubungozi bezepolitiki.
Ngokuzivulela izikhukhula zezivakashi zaseShayina namadola okutshalwa kwezimali, i-Taiwan idalula izimakethe zayo, umnotho nezinhlelo zezombangazwe nezenhlalo ethonyeni elikhulu elivela kumakhelwane wayo omkhulu kakhulu kanye nezimbangi zayo zezombusazwe.
Abanye babikezela ukuthi ukujova komsebenzi omusha kungathuthukisa umnotho wase-Taiwan oxegayo ngamaphesenti ama-2 angafika. Kepha ukushoda kwenqubekela phambili noma ukuhlehla emuva uma ushintsho lwenzeka ngokushesha futhi kungabukela phansi uhulumeni omusha onobungane waseChina.
"Kuzoba novalo lapho inhlokodolobha yezwe ifika izothenga izindlu, ibhizinisi noma ezinye izinto," kusho uWu Ray-kuo, umqondisi ophethe wezokubonisana ngezinhlekelele eFu-Jen University.
“Ngemuva kwalokho kuzoncika ekutheni inhlokodolobha yezwekazi isetshenziswa kanjani. Uma konke lokhu kuphumula kokulawula kungaholeli kumphumela ofisayo, kungase kube nokuhlehla komphakathi.”
Selokhu uMongameli uMa Ying-jeou athatha izintambo ngoMeyi, abaphathi bakhe bamemezele uchungechunge oluqhubekayo lwezinhlelo okuhloswe ngazo ukuvulela amaShayina iTaiwan kanye nokutshalwa kwezimali kwawo, okuqeda iminyaka engamashumi ayisithupha yokwenqatshelwa.
Esokuqala salezo, isivumelwano sezokuvakasha esiyingqopha-mlando ngoJuni, singaholela emalini efinyelela ezigidini eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-3.2 zamarandi emalini eyengeziwe yezokuvakasha unyaka ngamunye, kwengeze amaphuzu angamaphesenti angu-0.8 emkhiqizweni wasekhaya waseTaiwan, kusho i-BNP encwadini yocwaningo kaJulayi.
Kusukela lapho, abaphathi baka-Ma baxoxile noma bamemezela izinhlelo zokuvula amasheya, izindlu, izimakethe kanye nezimakethe zokukhiqiza zaseTaiwan e-China esikhathini esiseduze naphakathi.
Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, u-Ma uphinde wakhuluma ngombono wokwakha imakethe evamile yase-Greater China efaniswe eYurophu.
IZINZUZO EZINKULU
Izinzuzo ezingase zibe khona ezinhlelweni zika-Ma ezezomnotho, eziklanyelwe ukusiza i-Taiwan ukuthi ihlanganyele ekukhuleni okusheshayo komnotho waseShayina, okuye kwaba nesilinganiso esingaphezu kwamaphesenti ayishumi kule minyaka yamuva.
Uma kusingathwa ngendlela efanele, ukuvumela abathengi baseShayina nabatshalizimali ukuthi baye e-Taiwan kungase kwengeze amaphuzu angafika kwangu-2 ekukhuleni komnotho wase-Taiwan, isibikezelo se-Roth Capital Partners ngo-April.
"Sikholelwa ukuthi abatshalizimali abagxile emhlabeni wonke abakagxili ngokwanele emathubeni athuthukisiwe esikhathi eside amele iTaiwan," kusho uRoth ebhala ngaleso sikhathi.
Usomnotho we-JP Morgan, uGrace Ng, uthe ukukhushulwa okwengeziwe kungase kufinyelele kumaphesenti angu-1, ecaphuna iHong Kong njengesibonelo salokho okungenzeka.
Ukukhula kwe-GDP endaweni eyayiyikoloni laseBrithani kukhuphuke kwafinyelela kumaphesenti ayi-6-7 ukusuka kumazinga angaphambili asondele kumaphesenti ama-4 ngemuva kokuvula iminyango yawo kubavakashi abaningi baseShayina ngo-2003.
“Kuyindaba yokuthi zingakanani zingavula izinzuzo ezingaba khona kuma-cross-strait links,” kusho yena.
Izwe laseChina selithi iTaiwan ezibusayo njengendawo yayo kusukela ekupheleni kwempi yombango yaseShayina ngo-1949 futhi yathembisa ukuletha lesi siqhingi ngaphansi kokubusa kwayo, ngenkani uma kunesidingo.
Ngaphandle kombango wezombangazwe, amafemu aseTaiwan afake imali engaphezu kwezigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-100 zamaRandi eChina eminyakeni engu-20 edlule, futhi iTaiwan manje ibala iChina njengendawo eyintandokazi yokuthumela kwamanye amazwe. Cishe isigidi esisodwa sabantu baseTaiwan abayizigidi ezingu-1 manje bahlala noma basebenza eChina.
Ngemuva kokhetho lukaMa, abantu abaningi banethemba lokuthi imali enkulu izoqala ukugeleza ibuyele eTaiwan. Usomnotho wakwaCredit Suisse uJoseph Lau uthe lokho kungenzeka, kodwa noma yimiphi imiphumela izothatha isikhathi.
"Eminyakeni embalwa ezayo, iTaiwan izobe isazoba ngesinye seziqhwaga esifundeni futhi cishe iyonke izozama ukuthola izindlela zokuvuselela umnotho," kusho yena.
IZINGOZI EZINGAPHANSI
Yize isimo sibukeka sisihle, abahlaziyi baxwayisa ngokuthi uMa nohulumeni wakhe kumele banyathele ngokucophelela ukuze bagweme ukusabela okungekuhle uma iTaiwan ithathwa njengephana kakhulu ngaphandle kokuthola imbuyiselo eyanele.
Uma ihluleka ukuletha izidingo, abaphathi bangabona umbhikisho ozwakalayo womphakathi esikhathini esifushane, kanye nokuncintisana okuqinile isikhathi eside okuvela kumbangi omkhulu weqembu lakhe, i-China-wary Democratic Progressive (nyse: PGR - news - people ) Party, manje egcwele umbango. uchungechunge lwamahlazo aholele ekuhlulweni kwayo okhethweni lukamongameli ngoNdasa.
"Ngingacabanga ukuthi uMa uzobhekana nokuhlehla okuqinile ngoba ushintsha izinto kancane futhi kukhona ukumelana noshintsho kungakhathaliseki ukuthi yini," kusho uSyd Goldsmith, owayengusomaqhinga wase-US futhi oyisakhamuzi saseTaiwan samanje.
"Kuphinde kube nomuzwa wokuthi unikeza (amaTaiwan) ama-chips e-China."
Ukudumala ngenxa yokuntuleka kwemiphumela esheshayo ngale kwesivumelwano sezokuvakasha sekuvele kubonakala ngokusobala ezimakethe zesitoko kanye nezimali zase-Taiwan.
Ezinyangeni ezintathu zokuqala zonyaka, idola laseTaiwan lazuza amaphesenti angu-6.3, kodwa lehla ngamaphesenti angu-5.8 kusukela ngaleso sikhathi.
Imakethe yamasheya yaseTaiwan ihambe ngendlela efanayo, yenyuka ngamaphesenti ayi-19 ukusuka ekupheleni kukaJanuwari kuya kuMeyi, bese yehla ngamaphesenti angama-35 kusukela ngaleso sikhathi, yize ingxenye yalokho kube ngenxa yenkinga yezimali emhlabeni.
