I-Dreamliner ibalulekile ku-Boeing njengoba imboni ibhekene nokwehla okungenzeka kube khona

Nakuba unyaka ozayo womnotho obanzi ubukeka usabisa, umkhakha we-aerospace kufanele uqhube kangcono kuneningi ngo-2009.

Jabulela izindaba ezinhle zisekhona. Ngemuva konyaka ozayo, imboni ingase ingene emkhombeni.

Kuzoba khona izindawo ezikhanyayo ngo-2009: I-787 Dreamliner kufanele ekugcineni indize ehlobo elizayo.

Naphezu kokwehla okukhulu kokuhamba ngendiza, izindiza zase-US zibikezela inzuzo encane ka-2009 ngemva kweminyaka yokulahlekelwa.

Futhi nakuba i-Boeing ingeke ilethe noma yimaphi ama-Dreamliners ngo-2009, kufanele ikhiphe ezinye izindiza ezingaba ngu-480 ngonyaka.

Kodwa-ke, njengoba izindiza zihlela ukuhlehlisa noma ukukhansela ama-oda, ukuqhuma kwezindiza manje sekucacile ku-radar.

Umhlaziyi we-Aerospace u-Richard Aboulafia, we-Teal Group, ulindele ukuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali kuhlasele i-Boeing ngo-2010 futhi kuthathe okungenani iminyaka emithathu - futhi lokho kubikezela kwakhe okuhle.

“Uma sicabanga ukuthi okubi kuphelile enkingeni yezimali, osekusele iminyaka yokumba umnotho nemboni,” kusho u-Aboulafia. "Kuzoba ngenye yezinkinga ezihlala isikhathi eside."

Lokho akuthembisi neze kumhlaziyi we-Wall Street u-Joe Campbell, we-Barclays Capital, olindele ukuhamba kwezindiza ukuthi zibuyele esimweni esibucayi somnotho emhlabeni wonke ngo-2010.

Izinkampani zezindiza zizodinga izindiza, kusho uCampbell. I-Boeing ingase idinge ukukhiqiza kancane engxenyeni yesibili ka-2010, kodwa noma yikuphi ukusikeka "ngeke kujule futhi kunwetshwe isikhathi eside." Ukuthi isifunda sePuget Sound siphuma kanjani kunoma yikuphi ukwehla kwezimboni ze-aerospace kuncike ku-787 Dreamliner.

Uma abahlinzeki abanenkinga ye-787 kanye nokusebenza komhlangano kungalungiswa futhi ukukhiqizwa kuqhubeke, lokho kungathatha udosi olukhulu kunoma yikuphi ukwehla lapha. Lokho kuzoshiya i-Boeing isesimweni esingcono kakhulu kunembangi yayo yaseYurophu, i-Airbus, ukuze imelane nezinkinga zemboni.

Izinkampani zezindiza zilahlekelwa abagibeli

Eminyakeni yakamuva, i-Asia kanye neMpumalanga Ephakathi bathele i-Boeing ne-Airbus ngama-oda amakhulu.

Kodwa ngemva kweminyaka yokuthengisa amarekhodi akhe inqwaba yamajethi acishe abe ngu-7,500 abenzi bezindiza ababili, lokho kukhula okumangalisayo sekuphelile okwamanje.

Inkinga yezimali emhlabeni wonke isinyakazise umnotho waseChina oqhutshwa yizimpahla ezithunyelwa ngaphandle. Ukuwa kukawoyela kanye nezimakethe zezimali kucekele phansi umnotho waseDubai, okuyikhaya lenkampani yezindiza i-Emirates, eseyale amajethi angama-51 e-Boeing wide-body jets nama-58 Airbus A380 superjumbos.

Ukusilela emuva okukhulu kwezokuthengisa kungase kucekeleke kalula, nokho.

Kuhlanganisa imiyalo emikhulu evela ezimbangini ezifana ne-Emirates kanye ne-Qantas ezijaha ezinye zezindiza ezifanayo - "Izinkampani ezimbili (izindiza) zishayana ngomgibeli oyedwa," kusho u-Aboulafia. Angeke bobabili bawine imakethe efanayo.

Kunoma yikuphi, uthe, kuphinde kwaba nokusalela emuva okukhulu ngesikhathi sokwehla kokugcina kwezindiza, ngo-2002-03 ngemuva kokuhlasela kwe-9/11. Izinkampani zezindiza zihlehlisiwe noma zakhanselwa njengoba bezidinga, futhi ukukhiqizwa e-Boeing kwehla.

"Ukusilela emuva akusho lutho uma sekufika isikhathi sokulethwa kwezindiza," kusho u-Aboulafia.

Ukulethwa kwe-Boeing ka-2009 kuphephile uma kuqhathaniswa, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yokuthi ukuthenga indiza kuwukuzibophezela kokuhlela kwesikhathi eside.

Kepha njengoba izindiza zibona ukugcwala kwezimoto kwehla kakhulu, zihlehlisa ukulethwa. Uma lokho kuqhubeka, ukukhiqizwa kwe-Boeing ngo-2010 kuzodinga ukuhamba kancane.

I-International Air Transport Association (IATA) kule nyanga ibikezela ukuthi ukuhamba kwezindiza emhlabeni jikelele kuzokwehla ngamaphesenti amathathu ngo-3 nokuthi izinkampani zezindiza emhlabeni wonke zizolahlekelwa u-$ 2009 billion.

Ngokumangalisayo, iNyakatho Melika, lapho izinkampani zezindiza zizolahlekelwa isamba esicishe sibe ngamaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezine ngo-4, iyona kuphela isifunda okwabikezelwa ukuthi sizokwenza inzuzo encane ngo-2008, cishe amaRandi ayizigidi ezingu-2009. Izinkampani ezithwala izimpahla zase-US, ezinyakaziswa amanani entengo kawoyela ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, zehlise izindleko namandla emikhumbi futhi manje ziyazuza emananini aphansi kaphethiloli ngisho nalapho isidingo sabagibeli sehla.

Inkampani yezinkampani zasendaweni i-Alaska Air Group inciphise abasebenzi ababalelwa ku-1,000 futhi yehlisa izindiza zayo. Yize izothola izindiza ezintsha ze-Boeing eziyi-11 ngo-2009, isahlela ukunciphisa umthamo wabagibeli ngamaphesenti ayi-9.

"Uma kubhekwa izinombolo zokuntuleka kwemisebenzi, sikholelwa ukuthi isidingo samakhasimende sizoba buthaka," kusho i-Alaska Chief Executive uBill Ayer.

I-Boeing ne-Airbus

Usizi lwezinkampani zezindiza namuhla lunquma isiphetho sabenzi bamajethi kusasa.

I-Airbus izobala ukuthengiswa okuningi kuneBoeing kulo nyaka. Ihlanganise ama-oda angama-756 ngenyanga edlule, uma kuqhathaniswa nama-639 eBoeing.

I-Airbus izophinde ilethe i-Boeing ngamanani abanzi, ngenxa yesiteleka samaMachinists esimise ukukhiqizwa e-Boeing izinyanga ezimbili kulokhu kuwa.

Noma kunjalo, i-Airbus ibukeka ibuthakathaka ngokuya onyakeni omusha.

Isisekelo samakhasimende akwa-Boeing siqinile futhi sihlukahlukene. Ingxenye yesine yokusilela emuva kwe-Airbus ebanzi isezinkampanini zezindiza ezintathu zaseMiddle East.

Yize amajethi awo anesitezi esiphindwe kabili manje endiza futhi ahlaba umxhwele abagibeli, uhlelo lwe-A10 luhlala luwukuzivocavoca okumba eqolo futhi okunensayo ekwakheni izindiza ezinkulu ngezandla.

Imakethe yangempela ngeye-Airbus entsha ye-A350, ezoqhudelana ngo-2013 ne-777 kanye ne-787.

I-Airbus iphushele ukuphothulwa komklamo we-A350 ngonyaka ozayo. Futhi indiza ingase ingalethwa kuze kube ngasekupheleni kuka-2015, kusho uDoug McVitie, owayengumthengisi we-Airbus futhi manje ongumeluleki wezindiza eFrance.

Ngakolunye uhlangothi lwe-Airbus, impikiswano eshubile mayelana nosizo lwezezimali olungase lube khona lwe-A350 oluvela kohulumeni base-Europe ingase ilahlekelwe ukuphuthuma kwayo ngo-2009.

Eminyakeni emine edlule, uhulumeni wase-US wafaka icala ngokumelene ne-European Union (EU) ne-World Trade Organization, ikakhulukazi ukuvimba ukubolekwa kwe-A350. I-EU yaphikisa ngesudi ethi i-US ixhasa i-Boeing. Izinqumo zingavela ngonyaka ozayo kuwo womabili lawo macala.

Kodwa umbono wokuthi ohulumeni baxhase izimboni ngemali ebolekiwe enkulu awubonakali uyihlazo ngemuva kokukhishwa kwebheyili kwamabhange, izinkampani zomshwalense kanye nabakhiqizi bezimoto kulo nyaka.

"Yisho ukuthi uzokwenzani mayelana nokuxhasa i-A380, izophumelela ukukhulula i-Hummer," kusho u-Aboulafia.

I-Tanker, ukusetshenziswa kwemali kwezokuvikela

Lowo mqondo ofanayo wokuvikela imboni yase-US ngesikhathi senhlekelele yezomnotho ungase uzuze ibhizinisi lezokuvikela lika-Boeing.

Kulo nyaka, i-Boeing iqale yalahlekelwa yinkontileka ye-Air Force yokugcwalisa uphethiloli yezigidigidi zamadola ebhizinisini elihlanganyelwe phakathi kwe-Northrop Grumman kanye nomzali we-Airbus i-EADS, kodwa ukukhethwa kwendiza ye-Airbus A330 phezu kwe-Boeing 767 kwachithwa yiPentagon ngemuva kokubhikisha kwe-Boeing kanye nesifundazwe saseWashington. kanye nezithunywa zekhongolose yase-Kansas zilinganisiwe. Umncintiswano umisiwe kuze kufike abaphathi baka-Obama.

U-Loren Thompson, umhlaziyi wezokuvikela eLexington Institute, uthe emqhudelwaneni ovuselelwe, “Ukwehla komnotho kusho ukuthi ubuzwe bomnotho buzodlala indima enkulu.”

I-Boeing nayo izothola inzuzo yezepolitiki ekusekelweni kwayo yizinyunyana namaDemocrats kuCongress.

UThompson uthe akalindele isinqumo esisha sethangi ngaphambi kuka-2010.

"NgamaDemocrats alawulayo, iBoeing ingavimba noma yini," kusho yena. "Banomuzwa wokuthi isikhathi sisohlangothini lwabo."

Nokho, kwenye indawo uphiko lwezokuvikela lwe-Boeing lusengcupheni. Inkinga yezomnotho isho ukuthi ukuncishiswa kwesabelomali sePentagon kuqinisekile.

Izinhlelo ezimbili ezinkulu ze-Boeing, ukuvikela imicibisholo kanye ne-Army's Future Combat Systems, okungase kuhloswe ngakho.

Kanjalo nomlwi ophambili we-Lockheed Martin F-22. Bangaphezu kwenkulungwane abasebenzi bokuvikela bakwa-Boeing abakha amaphiko e-F-22 kanye ne-fuselage engemuva e-Seattle.

U-Thompson uthe into eyodwa kwisabelomali sezokuvikela ingabiza amaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-5 ku-Boeing: I-Navy ifuna uku-oda okungenani i-100 yama-jet fighters e-Super Hornet eyakhiwe eSt.

Nge-aerospace esifundeni se-Puget Sound, nokho, iphrojekthi yendiza eyodwa kuphela engavimba izikhathi ezimbi kakhulu.

Ngo-2009, i-Boeing kufanele ibuyisele i-Dreamliner endleleni.