Nakuba izingxenye ze-India zithole imvula enkulu phakathi no-June ngenxa yeziphepho, i-El Niño izophinde iqinise, ibangele ukuthi i-monsoon ibe buthaka, engxenyeni engenhla yoLwandlekazi i-Indian naseNingizimu-mpumalanga Asia.
Phakathi nenkathi yeziphepho ezivamile, ukushisa kwakheka ngaphambi kwalesi simo, bese kuthi izihlambi, ukuduma kwezulu nezinhlelo zezindawo ezishisayo zilethe imvula enamandla kanye ne-India epholile kanye nezindawo eziningi ezizungezile zaseNingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia.
I-El Niño iyisigaba esifudumele sokuguquguquka kwamazinga okushisa olwandle endaweni eshisayo yasePacific Ocean evame ukuletha inani elingaphezu kwesilinganiso senani lezivunguvungu e-Pacific Ocean. Ukulingana kwemvelo kuvame ukunciphisa ukusebenza kwezindawo ezishisayo futhi ngaleyo ndlela kunciphise imvula engxenyeni engenhla yoLwandlekazi i-Indian.
Inselele yokubikezela kanye nesenzakalo esingaziwa kancane, eyaziwa ngokuthi i-Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) ibangele ukuthi i-monsoon iqine okwesikhashana. Lokhu kuzulazula kuwukugeleza kwezihlambi nokuduma kwezulu okuvamise ukufuduka ukusuka entshonalanga kuye empumalanga kuzungeze izifunda zenkabazwe zomhlaba.
Ngokusho kuka-AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist u-Jason Nicholls, "Phakathi noJuni, ukushaya kwenhliziyo kwe-MJO kushintshele engxenyeni esempumalanga yendawo yoLwandlekazi i-Indian Ocean futhi kwahlala isikhathi eside."
"Imvula ibingaphezu kwamaphesenti ayi-16 ngaphezu kwejwayelekile e-India yonkana phakathi noJuni ngenxa yokuxhumana ne-El Niño kanye ne-MJO pulse," kusho isazi sezulu se-AccuWeather u-Eric Leister.
Ubukhulu bendawo yesomiso buzoba buncane, uma buqhathaniswa nokuhlaziya kwangaphambili. Imvula enamandla kwezinye izindawo phakathi noJuni izonciphisa umthelela wenani lemvula eliphansi uma liqhubekela phambili.
Uma sicabanga ukuthi ukushaya kwenhliziyo akubuyeli endaweni kuze kube ikwindla, i-El Niño kanye namazinga okushisa angaphansi kwesilinganiso samanzi ukusuka eSomalia kuya oLwandle lwase-Arabia kuzobambezela ukufika kwe-monsoon noma kunciphise umthelela wayo kusukela entshonalanga ye-India ngokusebenzisa ingxenye enkulu yePakistan phakathi noJulayi no-Agasti.
Ingxenye yale ndawo ibhekene nenani elikhulu lezitshalo zokusanhlamvu kanye nezolimo ngokujwayelekile. Izinsuku eziningi zokushisa okuyingozi cishe zikhona kulo mgwaqo.
"Nakuba isibikezelo sasehlobo sase-Asia sihlala singashintshile kuhlanganise nokuhlasela kweziphepho, silindele imvula encane kunalokho okwakucatshangwa ngaphambili kusukela enkabeni yeNdiya, kuhlanganise neMadhya Pradesh, kuya e-Odisha, eNdiya," kusho uNicholls.
Kule ndawo, kungase kube neziphepho ezimbalwa ezengeziwe.
Izivunguvungu ezintengayo ezivela emiphumeleni ye-El Niño zizobangela imizuliswano yemvula enamandla ukuthi inciphe ukusuka eBhutan naseningizimu yeTibet kuya ezindaweni ezisenyakatho yeLaos neVietnam, kanye naseningizimu-maphakathi neChina.
Eningizimu ekude e-Indochina, izimo ezomile zamanje zizothambekela ezimvula ezijwayelekile njengoba ihlobo liqhubeka. Kodwa-ke eningizimu yeThailand, eMalaysia, eSingapore nase-Indonesia kuzokoma kakhulu ngokwakhiwa kwesomiso noma ukubhebhetheka.
"Ngisho noma okunye ukushaya kwenhliziyo bekungathuthuka esifundeni ngasekupheleni kwehlobo noma ekwindla, kungase kuphuze kakhulu ukuguqula isomiso ePakistan nasenyakatho-ntshonalanga yeNdiya," kusho uNicholls.
I-monsoon ebuthakathaka ingaba nomthelela omkhulu emazingeni okushisa esifundeni.
Lapho i-monsoon inamandla, yilapho umoya ukhuphuka futhi uphole eduze kwayo. Ngokushesha ngaphandle kwe-monsoon enamandla, umoya uyacwila futhi ushisa kakhulu.
"Nge-monsoon ebuthakathaka, izindawo ezingaphakathi zizovame ukufudumala, kuyilapho izindawo eziseduze ngaphandle kwazo zisazoshisa ngaphezu kwesilinganiso ngenxa yesomiso sezakhiwo, mhlawumbe hhayi ngokweqile," kusho u-Nichols.
Kuzoba nokugeleza komoya onomswakama engxenyeni enkulu yesifunda, okuholela eziphephweni ezimabalabala, kodwa futhi kubangele Amazinga Okushisa e-AccuWeather RealFeel® aphezulu kakhulu, afinyelele ku-100 F noma ngaphezulu kwezinsuku eziningi.
Izivunguvungu ezinamandla ezenzeka ngo-June, zasiza ekudaleni ukushisa okukhulu ngo-June phezu kwePakistan nasezingxenyeni ezithile zaseNdiya.
