Izimo zokukhula zase-Asia Pacific zibuthaka futhi azilingani kuya ku-2023

Esifinyezweni esisanda kukhishwa se-Executive Summary of the Asia Pacific Visitor Forecasts 2021-2023 yiPacific Asia Travel Association (PATA), amathemba amathathu okukhula kwabavakashi bamazwe aphesheya (ama-IVA) angena ngaphakathi nangaphesheya kwezindawo ezingama-39 e-Asia Pacific ayenziwa, amboza okuncane, okuphakathi nezimo ezinzima.

Umbiko ukhombisa ukuthi noma ngaphansi kwesimo esingesihle, isifunda sase-Asia Pacific ngonyaka ka-2023 kungenzeka sibe nokufika okucishe kube ngu-4% uma kuqhathaniswa no-2019. Isimo esiphakathi sikhombisa ukuthi izinombolo zezivakashi zakwamanye amazwe ngonyaka ka-2023 zingaba yizingxenye ezintathu kuphela zethamo lika-2019 , ngenkathi ingaphansi kwesimo esinzima, lelo nani liqagelwa ukuthi lizofinyelela ngaphansi kwengxenye yevolumu ka-2019 yokufika kwamazwe omhlaba. 

Imiphumela ayilingani futhi, hhayi ngaphansi kwesimo ngasinye kepha futhi nezindawo ezinkulu eziya e-Asia Pacific. Amazwe aseMelika ngokwesibonelo, ngemuva kokufinyelela inani eliphelele labantu abafikayo bakwamanye amazwe abayizigidi ezingama-45.36 ngo-2020 ezindaweni ezine ezihlanganiswe yile ndawo, akunakwenzeka ukuthi abone noma yikuphi ukwanda konyaka kuma-IVA kuze kube ngu-2022.

Ikhalenda lika-2021 ikakhulukazi, kulindeleke ukuthi libe ngomunye unyaka onzima emazweni aseMelika. Ukwehla okwengeziwe ngonyaka kwamanani okufika aphesheya kulindeleke, ngokulahleka konyaka okusukela ezigidini ezi-3.59 kuye cishe ezigidini ezingama-23.76, kuya ngezimo zesimo ngaleso sikhathi. 

Ama-IVA angena naphesheya kwe-Asia ngakolunye uhlangothi, kulindeleke ukuthi akhombise ukwanda ku-2021 ngaphezulu kwezigidi ezingama-70.64 ezitholwe ku-2020, kepha kuphela ngaphansi kwesimo esingesihle. Ukusuka ngonyaka ka-2022 kuye phambili, ukukhuphuka konyaka kulindeleke ukuthi kuthuthuke kancane kancane ngevolumu ngaphansi kwalezi zimo ezintathu.

Okuwukuphela kwesici esehlukile ivolumu yokwanda konyaka esimweni ngasinye. 

IPacific kulindeleke ukuthi ibe sesimeni esifana nesaseMelika ngo-2021, ama-IVA ehla ezigidini ezingama-5.85 ezitholwe ku-2020 ngaphansi kwalezi zimo ezintathu. Yize lokho kwehla kungahle kube kuncane ngaphansi kwesimo esimnene, kusengamele ukuminyaniswa kwama-IVAs acishe abe yizigidi ezinhlanu ngaphansi kwesimo esinzima.

Iminyaka yekhalenda 2022 kanye no-2023, kepha ikhombisa okunye ukubuyela ekukhuleni konyaka ngaphansi kwesimo ngasinye.

Izifunda ezintathu eziyinhloko ezikhiqiza izivakashi zase-Asia, eMelika naseYurophu kungenzeka zihlale zinjalo, ngokuya ngevolumu eyengeziwe yama-IVA athunyelwe ngaphakathi nangaphesheya kwe-Asia Pacific phakathi kuka-2020 no-2023, ahluke kuphela emandleni awo ahlobene nawo.

Kuyathakazelisa ukuthi njengoba isimo ngasinye siba nzima ngokwengeziwe futhi siguquguquke, inani elilinganisiwe lokukhula kwe-IVA e-Asia phakathi kuka-2020 no-2023 liba ngokubaluleke kakhulu, njengoba izinombolo eziphelele zincipha ngandlela thile.

Kodwa-ke, lokhu kulinganiswa kwehluka kakhulu ezifundeni ezintathu eziyinhloko ze-Asia Pacific.

Isihambi sangaphakathi kwezifunda sigeleza sisuka eMelika, ngokwesibonelo, silawula abafikayo emazweni aseMelika, sikhule ngokubaluleka okulinganayo njengoba izimo ziba nzima ngokwengeziwe futhi ziguquguquke.

Esifundeni okuyiwa kuso e-Asia, yileso sifunda uqobo esikhiqiza ubuningi obukhulu bama-IVA angeziwe esifundeni phakathi kuka-2020 no-2023, nesabelo saso esilinganiselwe sokufika okwengeziwe esikhuphuka sisuka cishe ku-84% ngaphansi kwesimo esiphansi saba ngaphezu kuka-87% ngaphansi kwesimo esinzima.

Ama-IVA angeziwe ePacific kungenzeka akhishwe ikakhulu e-Asia naseMelika, nalezi zifunda ezimbili ezihlanganisiwe, kulindeleke ukuthi zibhekele ngaphezulu kwe-70% yokwanda kwama-IVAs kulesi sifunda phakathi kwe-2020 ne-2023, ngaphansi kwesimo ngasinye .

Ngenkathi ukukhula kwabavakashi bamazwe omhlaba befika nangaphesheya kwe-Asia Pacific kusalokhu kunzima ngo-2021, kunezimpawu ezethembisayo zango-2022 no-2023.Covid-19 amazinga okufika, ngenkathi kungenzeka ngonyaka ka-2023, abonakala manje engenzeka, okungenani uma izimo njengoba zinjalo manje, zehla ngokushesha futhi unomphela. Nokho okuningi, kuzoya ngezehlakalo ezenzeka kulobu busika obusenyakatho kanye nokufika nokuphathwa kwenkathi yemikhuhlane yendabuko.

Njengoba kunikezwe ijubane lapho izimo zingashintsha, i I-PATA Isibikezelo kulo nyaka asinayo imininingwane eqondene nendawo okuyiwa kuyo njengoba sashicilelwa phambilini, kodwa kunalokho sigxila ezifundeni nasezifundeni ezingaphansi. Kodwa-ke ziyaguquguquka njengoba zizovuselelwa kabili ezinyangeni eziyi-12 ezizayo, ukubhekela intuthuko, lapho kwenzeka khona.

Uhambo lwasekhaya esikhathini esiningi luzogcwalisa isikhala esivuleke ngokulahlekelwa abafikayo bakwamanye amazwe nokuthi ukunakekelwa nokunakekelwa kwalabo bahambi kudinga ukunikezwa njengalabo abavela phesheya kwezilwandle. Ngaphezu kwalokho, kuzo zombili izinhlobo zezivakashi, mhlawumbe ikusasa lizoxhomeka kakhulu kubude bokuhlala nokweneliseka kwezivakashi, kunasehlokweni elijwayelekile nelilula labantu abafikayo. Amamethrikhi alandelela izinkomba ezinjalo kungenzeka abe yindinganiso entsha yokunquma amandla ezokuvakasha kanye nokusebenza kulokho okungenzeka ukuthi kuqhubeke nokuba yizwe eliguquguqukayo.