Ungasinda kanjani ekuhlaselweni kwemicibisholo e-Honolulu, Waikiki, Maui, Kauai noma kwenye indawo eHawaii?

Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi uvakashela iHawaii njengesivakashi, noma uhlala eHawaii njengeKamaaina - uma isaziso esiphuthumayo se-Hawaii Emergency Management Service sikutshela ukuthi kukhona usongo lwe-missile ye-ballistic engena eHawaii, funa indawo yokukhosela ngokushesha, yini ebingalindeleka wena kanye nezivakashi nezakhamuzi eziyizigidi eziyi-1.46 Aloha Isho nganoma yisiphi isikhathi?

Yini okufanele isivakashi noma isakhamuzi sase-Hawaii yenze lapho sithola lesi sixwayiso se-reverse 911 esiphuthumayo sokuhlasela kwenyukliya? Kunemizuzu eyi-15 yokwenza- asikho isikhathi sokumosha.
Impendulo emfushane ithi. Izivakashi zihlala ehhotela lakho futhi zivale amafasitela. Balekela ezakhiweni zezitini eziqinile. Izakhamuzi zivala amafasitela neminyango yakho. Yiba namanzi anele, ukudla futhi ungakhohlwa imithi yakho. Yiba nomsakazo osebenza ngebhethri futhi umakhalekhukhwini wakho ushajwe.

I-eTN ikhulume no-Richard Rapoza, isikhulu Solwazi Lomphakathi we-Emergency Management Services kanye nesikhulu solwazi se-US Pacific Command. Isihloko se-eTN sayizolo “Ukubalekela ukufa ngaphezu kokwethuka eHawaii: Abantu abagijimela indawo yokukhosela benqaba eWalmart, kodwa bamukelwa eHome Depot”  wayecabangele isimo esidabukisayo okungenzeka singabi njalo ekuhlaselweni kwangempela.

Uma uhamba nenguqulo ecatshangelwayo yokuhlasela kweqiniso kwemicibisholo kungenzeka ukuthi amaqiniso alimaza abaningi, kodwa hhayi kubo bonke abahlali nezivakashi eSifundazweni Sase-US saseHawaii. Akupheli lapho uthola umlayezo efonini yakho, uzwa izinhlabamkhosi noma ubukela umlayezo womyalo we-US ku-TV. Kudingeka ingqondo, ukwazi okufanele ukwenze, kanye nenhlanhla encane ukuphuma kulokhu uphila.

Kungenzeka ukuthi usongo luvelaphi?
Amazwe alandelayo aneMicibisholo ye-Intercontinental Ballistic futhi angahle ahlasele i-United States.

I-missile ye-intercontinental ballistic (ICBM) i-ballistic missile eqondiswayo enebanga elincane elingamakhilomitha angu-5,500 (3,400 mi) eliklanyelwe ukulethwa kwezikhali zenuzi (ukuletha i-thermonuclear warheads eyodwa noma ngaphezulu).

• I-Russia.
• India.
• I-the united states
• China.
• France
• Israel
• e-North Korea

Uma sibheka isimo sezepolitiki samanje ukuphela kwesigameko esingaba khona kungaba usongo oluvela eNyakatho Korea.

Ngokusho kwe-US Intelligence Data ibhomu le-athomu likaPyongyang linamandla angu-150kT lokho okusasele ebuthaka uma kuqhathaniswa namandla amanye amazwe anemicibisholo ye-Intercontinental Ballistic anawo ezinqolobaneni zawo.

Isivinini esiphezulu se-ICBM sisendaweni yebhola engu-6-7km/s (noma ikuphi ngokushesha futhi umthwalo okhokhelwayo uzohamba nge-orbital), futhi kuthatha cishe imizuzu eyi-10 ukusheshisa kuleso sivinini. INorth Korea ukuya eHawaii 4,661 miles noma 7500km, at 6.5km/s imizuzu engu-20. Engeza isikhathi sokusheshisa futhi ubheka cishe imizuzu engama-30 isiyonke.

Izilinganiso zezikhali zenuzi zezwe ziyehluka: Abanye ochwepheshe bakholelwa ukuthi iPyongyang inezikhali zenuzi eziphakathi kweshumi nanhlanu namashumi amabili, kuyilapho ezobunhloli zase-US zikholelwa ukuthi inani liphakathi kwamabhomu angamashumi amathathu namashumi ayisithupha. Umbuso uvivinye ngempumelelo imicibisholo ye-intercontinental ballistic (ICBM), ngayinye ekwazi ukuthwala impi enkulu yenuzi, ngoJulayi nangoNovemba 2017. UPyongyang uthe ekuhlolweni kwayo ngoNovemba kweHwasong-15 ICBM entsha, lo mcibisholo washaya indawo ephakeme ngamakhilomitha angu-4,475 ( 2,780 miles), kude le International Space Station, futhi indize cishe amakhilomitha angu-1,000 (590 miles) ngaphambi kokuhlala olwandle ngasogwini lwase-Japan. Abahlaziyi balinganisela ukuthi i-Hwasong-15 inebanga elingamakhilomitha angu-13,000 (amamayela angu-8,100) futhi, uma idutshulwa endaweni eyisicaba, ingafinyelela noma yikuphi ezweni lase-US.

Isikhathi esidingekayo i-US izokwazi ukuhlasela?

Amathuba okuthi i-United States yazi mayelana nokwethulwa komcibisholo oyi-ballistic cishe ayi-100%. Ngemizuzwana nje isixhumi esisekelwe phansi sizobe sesiyanyakaza.

The I-Interceptor esekelwe phansi ingxenye ye-anti-ballistic missile yohlelo lwe-United States' Ground-Based Midcourse Defense (GMD). Lesi sithamelisi sakhiwe imoto ekhuthazayo, eyakhiwe yi-Orbital Sciences Corporation, kanye ne-Exoatmospheric Kill Vehicle, eyakhiwa nguRaytheon. Ukuhlanganiswa kwalokhu kwenziwa yi-Boeing Defense, Space & Security.

Ingxenye ye-Ground-based Midcourse Defense (GMD) ye-Ballistic Missile Defense System ihlinzeka Abakhuzi Abalwa Nakho amandla okuzibandakanya nokucekela phansi izinsongo zemicibisholo ecitshwayo yebanga elide emaphakathi kanye nebanga elide emkhathini ukuze kuvikelwe i-United States.

• I-Ground-based Interceptors ifakwe e-Fort Greely, e-Alaska nase-Vandenberg Air Force Base, eCalifornia. Ingqikithi yama-interceptors angama-44 akhona njengamanje.
• Ukulawulwa komlilo, ukulawulwa kwempi, ukuhlela, ukwenza umsebenzi kanye nokuhlaziya usongo kwenzeka kusetshenziswa i-dual-node, isixhumi esibonakalayo sokulawula komuntu esitholakala e-Fort Greely, e-Alaska nase-Colorado Springs, e-Colorado. I-Warfighters ye-49th Missile Defense Battalion e-Fort Greely, e-Alaska kanye ne-100th Missile Defense Brigade e-Colorado Springs, e-Colorado. sebenzisa uhlelo.
• Zonke izingxenye ze-GMD zixhumana ngenethiwekhi yezokuxhumana ye-GMD, idatha evikelekile nesistimu yokuxhumana yezwi kusetshenziswa i-SATCOM kanye nekhebula ye-fiber optic yokuxhumana okude.

Lolu hlelo seludle i-US $123 billion kusukela ngo-2002.

Angakanani amathuba okuthi i-US inqande futhi ibhubhise ukuhlasela kwemicibisholo ngaphambi kokuba kuqhume ibhomu?

I-United States yaluvivinya lolu hlelo izikhathi ezingu-18 kusukela ngo-1999 futhi manje isimi ezivivinyweni eziyisishiyagalolunye eziphumelele kwezingu-18 kusukela ngo-1999, amaphesenti angu-50 ngqo. Uma kucatshangelwa ukuthi uhlelo luba ngcono ngokuhamba kwesikhathi kungase kucatshangwe ukuthi izinga lempumelelo lingaba likhulu kuno-50%

Kuthiwani uma i-US ingakwazi ukudubula imicibisholo?

Amathuba obuchwepheshe baseNyakatho Korea azogeja inhloso yawo aphakeme.

Kuthiwani uma ibhomu lishaya elicijile, futhi indawo eminyene nenabantu abaningi eHawaii, idolobha lase-Honolulu e-Oahu? 

Impendulo iyashaqisa, kodwa futhi inengxenye engaphezu kuka-80% yethemba nokusinda.

NgokukaNukemap, umcibisholo ocitshwayo oshaya phansi kwedolobha i-Honolulu uzocekela phansi iningi le-Honolulu kanye nengxenye enkulu ye-Waikiki. Kunoma isiphi isikhathi samahora angama-24, cishe kunabantu abangu-362,523 kuhlu olu-1 lwe-psi lokuqhunyiswa kwakamuva kakhulu. Lokhu kungase kumise indinganiso "yesimo esibi kakhulu."

Kunoma isiphi isimo esihlukile, le nombolo izoba ngaphansi kakhulu uma ngokwesibonelo, ibhomu lehla bese liqhuma phakathi. Haleiwa Ogwini oluseNyakatho ye-Oahu noma lehla eKauai, eMolokai, eLanai noma olwandle.

Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi esimweni esibi kakhulu cishe izakhamuzi nezivakashi eziyizigidi ezingu-1.3 eSifundazweni SaseHawaii zizobe zisindile. Isibalo sabantu abashonile esilinganisweni esibi kakhulu singaba ngu-116,410; inani lokulimala okulinganiselwe: 104,000.

• Irediyasi ye-Nuclear Fireball ingaba amamayela angu-1,930 noma angu-0.42: Ubukhulu bosayizi webhola lomlilo wenuzi; ukuhambisana nemiphumela ephilayo kuncike ekuphakameni kokuqhunyiswa. Uma ithinta phansi, inani le-radioactive fallout likhuphuka kakhulu.
• Irediyasi ye-Air Blast (20 pxi) ingaba amamayela angu-0.72 (amamayela-skwele angu-1.62): Ku-20 psi overpressure, izakhiwo zikakhonkolo ezakhiwe kakhulu zonakaliswa kakhulu noma zidilizwe; ukufa kusondele ku-100%.
• Iradiation radius 500 rem: 1.2 miles noma 4.56 square miles: 500 rem radiation dose; ngaphandle kokwelashwa, kungalindelwa phakathi kuka-50% no-90% wokufa okuvela emiphumeleni eyingozi iyodwa. Ukufa kuthatha phakathi kwamahora ambalwa namaviki ambalwa.
• Imisakazo ye-Air Blast (5psi): 1.51 miles noma 7.18 miles miles: Ku-5 psi overpressure, izakhiwo eziningi zokuhlala ziyawa, ukulimala kusemhlabeni wonke, ukufa kusabalele.
• Irediyasi yokushisa eshisayo (ukusha kwedigri lesi-3): 2.9 mi (26.4 mi²): Ukusha kwe-third-degree kunwebeka kuzo zonke izingqimba zesikhumba, futhi kuvame ukungabi nabuhlungu ngoba kubulala imizwa yobuhlungu. Zingabangela izibazi ezinzima noma ukukhubazeka futhi zingadinga ukunqunywa. Amathuba angu-100% okusha kwe-3rd degree kulesi sivuno ngu-10.1 cal/cm².

Isilinganiso sengqikithi yokuvala okucishe ifane yokuqhuma kwe-150 kiloton (50% fission) ngomoya ongu-15mph:

I-Fallout contour ye 1 amaradi ngehora:

• Ubukhulu bebanga lefu lokwehlisa umoya: 131 mi
• Ububanzi obukhulu: 22.5 mi
• Cishe indawo ethintekile: 2,500 mi²

I-Fallout contour ye 10 amaradi ngehora:

• Ubukhulu bebanga lefu lokwehlisa umoya: 88.1 mi
• Ububanzi obukhulu: 14.2 mi
• Cishe indawo ethintekile: 1,120 mi²

I-Fallout contour ye 100 amaradi ngehora:

• Ubukhulu bebanga lefu lokwehlisa umoya: 45.7 mi
• Ububanzi obukhulu: 5.81 mi
• Cishe indawo ethintekile: 284 mi²

I-Fallout contour ye 1,000 amaradi ngehora:

• Ibanga eliphezulu lefu eliphansi (isiqu kuphela): 4.97 mi
• Ubukhulu besiqu ububanzi: 1.24 mi
• Cishe indawo ethintekile: 8.99 mi²
• Izinga lemisebe elikhethiwe liphezulu kakhulu ekuphumeni kwamafu kulesi sivuno, ngakho-ke le contour ayenzelwanga imephu. Ubuningi be-contour yemisebe yokuwa kwamafu okungaboniswa kulokhu kutholwa ngu-496 r/hr.

Zonke lezi zinombolo zingahluka kakhulu uma ibhomu lishaya isiqhingi esihlukile, noma indawo ehlukile e-Oahu. Zizophinde zihluke uma ibhomu liqhuma emoyeni noma phansi. Izinombolo ezibonisiwe zisekelwe ekuqhumeni komhlaba.

Indawo yokuhlala:
Isiphephelo singabaluleka ukuze usinde uma usonqenqemeni lwe-fallout noma ngale kwalokho.
Ngakho-ke uhlelo lwesixwayiso esiphuthumayo lufanelekile. Isakhiwo sendlu yokhuni esinamafasitela avaliwe singavikela kuphela lapho uphumile ezindaweni eziyingozi kakhulu.
Izakhiwo zikakhonkolo njenge-Walmart, Target noma Home Depot, Costco, Hotels, Schools, University, Concrete Apartment izakhiwo kanye nezindlu, izitolo zingaba umehluko phakathi kokuphila nokufa.

Ukucekelwa phansi okuningi okudalwe ukuqhuma kwezikhali zenuzi kungenxa yemiphumela yokuqhuma. Izakhiwo eziningi, ngaphandle kwezakhiwo eziqinisiwe noma ezikwazi ukumelana nokuqhuma, zizolimala kancane uma zingaphansi kokucindezela okungaphezu kuka-35.5 kilopascals (kPa) (5.15 pounds-force per inch square noma 0.35 atm). Idatha etholwe ocwaningweni lwaseJapan ithole ukuthi i-8 psi (55 kPa) yayanele ukucekela phansi zonke izakhiwo zokuhlala zamapulangwe nezitini. Lokhu kungachazwa ngokunengqondo njengengcindezi ekwazi ukukhiqiza umonakalo omkhulu.

Kwa-Walmart, Target, Ukufaneleka kwamahora angu-24 ukuvala izitolo zabo kulabo abafuna indawo yokukhosela bekungenasibopho futhi kungethenjwa kuphela ukuthi wonke umuntu e-Hawaii uyafunda, ushintsha izinqubomgomo, ushintsha imithetho. Mhlawumbe i Aloha umoya ungase ube isiqinisekiso esingcono kakhulu sokusinda.

Kungani eNyakatho Korea: 

Izimiso zefilosofi eziqondisayo zaseNyakatho Korea kube i-juche (ukuzethemba) kanye ne-songun (ipolitiki yezempi yokuqala). Amasosha adlala indima ebalulekile ezindabeni zezepolitiki futhi isikhundla sawo senyuswe kancane ngobukhosi bukaKim. Ubuholi baseNyakatho Korea bukholelwa ukuthi amabutho angaphandle anobutha angase ahlasele, okuhlanganisa nomakhelwane wayo wentando yeningi eningizimu ne-United States. Ngenxa yalokho, emehlweni ePyongyang, okuwukuphela kwendlela yokuqinisekisa ukuphila kwayo kuzwelonke ukuthuthukisa amakhono ezempi angalingani ukuze kuvinjwe usongo lwayo olucatshangelwayo.

Izilinganiso zezikhali zenuzi zezwe ziyehluka: abanye ochwepheshe bakholelwa ukuthi iPyongyang inezikhali zenuzi eziphakathi kweshumi nanhlanu namashumi amabili, kuyilapho ubuhlakani base-US bekholelwa ukuthi inani liphakathi kwamabhomu angamashumi amathathu namashumi ayisithupha. Umbuso uvivinye ngempumelelo imicibisholo ye-intercontinental ballistic (ICBM), ngayinye ekwazi ukuthwala impi enkulu yenuzi, ngoJulayi nangoNovemba 2017. UPyongyang uthe ekuhlolweni kwayo ngoNovemba kweHwasong-15 ICBM entsha, lo mcibisholo washaya indawo ephakeme ngamakhilomitha angu-4,475 ( 2,780 miles), kude le International Space Station, futhi indize cishe amakhilomitha angu-1,000 (590 miles) ngaphambi kokuhlala olwandle ngasogwini lwase-Japan. Abahlaziyi balinganisela ukuthi i-Hwasong-15 inebanga elingamakhilomitha angu-13,000 (amamayela angu-8,100) futhi, uma idutshulwa endaweni eyisicaba, ingafinyelela noma yikuphi ezweni lase-US.

Yini elandelayo?
Lokhu bekuyi-wake-up-call. Ukusabela okukhululekile kweHawaii engozini, ukuphepha kufanele kushintshe. Umthetho ogunyaza izinkampani ezinesakhiwo sezitini ukuthi zithathe labo abafuna izindawo zokukhosela esimweni esiphuthumayo esiphuthumayo kufanele zibe sezincwadini ASAP. Ukunikeza ingxenye enkulu yabantu abangenamakhaya indawo ephephile abangaya kuyo sekubaluleka nakakhulu.
Ukuqeqeshwa, uchungechunge lomyalo ludinga ukulandelwa esimweni esiphuthumayo.

I-Hawaii ithathwa njengomunye wezindawo eziphephe kakhulu zokuvakasha nezokuvakasha. Ukuvakasha kanye nezokuvakasha kuyindlela yokuziphilisa Aloha Izwe. Abadlali abakhulu embonini abasekelwe e-Hawaii futhi badinga ukubeka isabelo sabo esifanelekile ukuze bafinyelele umphakathi hhayi ngokukhokha izintela ezincane kuphela, ukukhokha amaholo aphansi esifundazweni ngezindleko zerekhodi. Akumele bacabange ukuthi ukunikeza umphakathi kuwumnikelo, kumele bakhombise izibopho zangempela. Phela, izithakazelo zabo phela - ezokuvakasha ziyimali eshisiwe kuHQ yebhizinisi kanye nabanikazi bamasheya.