Ngokombiko we-UN osanda kukhishwa, ezokuvakasha zithola indawo evelele, uma kungenjalo, emnothweni womhlaba.
Umbiko unikeza amaqiniso nezibalo ukukhombisa ukubaluleka kwezokuvakasha, futhi uphawula ukuthi i-Brazil kanye ne-Russian Federation iyalulama futhi ngemva kweminyaka embalwa yokwehla.
Engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2018, abafikayo bakhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-6 uma kuqhathaniswa nesikhathi esifanayo ngo-2017.
I-Asia, iPacific, neYurophu yakhula ngamaphesenti angu-7, iMpumalanga Ephakathi ngamaphesenti amahlanu, i-Afrika ngamaphesenti amane, neMelika ngamaphesenti amathathu.
Ukuhlanganiswa neminye imikhakha kuzosiza, kusho umbiko.
Ngokugxila eNingizimu ye-Asia, umbono ulungile ngokusesilinganisweni, kodwa ukuthambekela kwezomnotho kuhluke kakhulu emazweni wonke. Izingozi ezingezinhle ziye zanda ngokusobala eminothweni eminingana.
Amathemba okukhula eNingizimu ye-Asia
I-GDP yesifunda kulindeleke ukuthi ikhule ngamaphesenti angu-5.4 ngo-2019 namaphesenti angu-5.9 ngo-2020, ngemva kokukhula okulinganiselwe okungamaphesenti angu-5.6 ngo-2018. Ukukhula kulindeleke ukuthi kusekelwe ukusetshenziswa kwangasese futhi, kwezinye izimo, isidingo sokutshalwa kwezimali, ngisho nalapho izimo zenqubomgomo yezimali ziqina. kweminye iminotho. Kodwa ngale kwalezi zindlela ezihlanganisiwe, isimo somnotho sihluke kakhulu emazweni ngamazwe.
Umnotho wase-India kulindeleke ukuthi ukhule ngamaphesenti angu-7.6 no-7.4 ngo-2019 nango-2020, ngokulandelana, ngemva kokukhula ngamaphesenti angu-7.4 ngo-2018. Ukukhula kuyaqhubeka kusekelwe ukusetshenziswa okuqinile kwangasese, isimo sezimali esinwebekayo kanye nezinzuzo ezivela ezinguqukweni zangaphambilini. Nokho, ukusimama okuqinile nokuqhubekayo kokutshalwa kwezimali kwangasese kusabalulekile ukuze kukhushulwe ukukhula kwesikhathi esimaphakathi.
Umnotho wase-Bangladesh futhi kulindeleke ukuthi uqhubeke nokukhula ngesivinini esingaphezu kwamaphesenti angu-7.0, phakathi kokutshalwa kwezimali okungaguquki okuqinile, ukusetshenziswa kwangasese okunamandla kanye nenqubomgomo yezimali yendawo yokuhlala.
Ngokuphambene, umbono e-Islamic Republic of Iran ngokusobala uwohlokile ngenxa yokuphinda kubekwe unswinyo lwezohwebo, ukutshalwa kwezimali kanye nezezimali yi-United States, kanye nobuthakathaka besakhiwo sasekhaya. Umnotho wase-Irani kulinganiselwa ukuthi ungene ekuwohlokeni komnotho ngonyaka ka-2018, okulindeleke ukuthi ujule unyaka wonke ka-2019.
Ukukhula komnotho ePakistan kulindeleke ukuthi kuhambe kancane ngo-2019 nango-2020 kube ngaphansi kwamaphesenti angu-4.0, ngemva kokukhula okulinganiselwe ngamaphesenti angu-5.4 ngo-2018. Umnotho wasePakistan ubhekene nobunzima obukhulu bokukhokha, phakathi kokushoda kwezimali okukabili kanye namanje, ukwehla okubonakalayo izimali zamazwe ngamazwe kanye nezingcindezi ezikhulayo emalini yasekhaya.
Ubungozi kanye nezinselelo zenqubomgomo
Umnotho womhlaba ubhekene nokuhlangana kwezingozi ezingase ziphazamise kakhulu umsebenzi wezomnotho futhi zidale umonakalo omkhulu kumathemba entuthuko yesikhathi eside. Lezi zingozi zihlanganisa ukwesekwa okunciphayo kwezindlela ezihlangene; ukwanda kwezingxabano zenqubomgomo yezohwebo; ukuntengantenga kwezimali okuhlobene namazinga aphakeme esikweletu; kanye nezingozi zesimo sezulu ezikhulayo, njengoba umhlaba uhlangabezana nenani elikhulayo lezehlakalo zesimo sezulu esibi kakhulu.
INingizimu Asia ibhekene nezingozi ezimbalwa ezingase ziguqule ngokuphawulekayo umkhondo wokukhula ohlongozwayo. Ngasohlangothini lwasekhaya, ukungaqiniseki kwezombusazwe, izithiyo ekusetshenzisweni kwezinguquko futhi, kwamanye amazwe, izinkinga zokuphepha, kungase kuthinte amathemba okutshalwa kwezimali. Lolu wudaba olubalulekile njengoba isifunda sidinga ukubhekana nezingqinamba zengqalasizinda ukuze kuthuthukiswe ukukhula komkhiqizo, kugqugquzelwe ukuncishiswa kobubha nokubhekana nokuguquguquka kwesimo sezulu.
Ngasohlangothini lwangaphandle, ukuqina okungazelelwe kwezimo zezimali zomhlaba kanye nokwanda okwengeziwe kwezingxabano zohwebo eziqhubekayo kungase kubangele ubungozi ekubukeni kwesifunda. Izimo zangaphandle eziyinselele eyengeziwe zingaphinde zidalule ukungalingani komnotho omkhulu kanye nokuba sengozini kwezezimali okuhlobene nokushoda okukhulu kwezimali kanye namanje kwama-akhawunti kanye namazinga aphakeme esikweletu kweminye iminotho.
LOKHO ONGAKUTHATHE KULESI SIHLOKO:
- In contrast, the outlook in the Islamic Republic of Iran has visibly deteriorated due to the re-imposition of trade, investment and financial sanctions by the United States, and structural domestic weaknesses.
- On the external side, an abrupt tightening of global financial conditions and a further escalation of the ongoing trade disputes could pose risks to the regional outlook.
- Umbiko unikeza amaqiniso nezibalo ukukhombisa ukubaluleka kwezokuvakasha, futhi uphawula ukuthi i-Brazil kanye ne-Russian Federation iyalulama futhi ngemva kweminyaka embalwa yokwehla.
