Izinyathelo ezithathwayo zokumisa ukusakazeka kwaleli gciwane zinciphisa ukuhamba nokuhweba kwamanye amazwe, futhi esikhathini eside zingathinta kakhulu ukukhula komnotho kanye nesidingo sikawoyela emhlabeni wonke.
Umnotho wama-Arab kanye nezimakethe zezimali kulindeleke ukuthi zithinteke kakhulu uma i-coronavirus etholwe eChina ngoDisemba iqhubeka nokusabalala kwayo ngokushesha.
Amacala okuqala aqinisekisiwe eMiddle East atholakala e-United Arab Emirates ngoJanuwari 29, lapho amalungu amane omndeni wakwaShayina ayefike eholidini esontweni eledlule evela eWuhan, idolobha lapho kwaqubuka khona ukuqubuka kwalesi sifo, kwatholakala ukuthi unalo. i-coronavirus.
UMohammed Al Sabban, owayengumeluleki omkhulu kungqongqoshe kaphethiloli waseSaudi, utshele abeMedia Line ukuthi izindaba zaleli gciwane ziphazamise izimakethe zezimali nokuholele ekutheni kube nokukhathazeka ngohwebo nokukhula komnotho emhlabeni.
“Yize lesi kungesona isikhathi sokuqala ukuthi umnotho womhlaba ube nemiphumela yesifo esifana nalesi, lesi saqala eChina, umnotho wesibili ngobukhulu ngemuva kwe-United States kanye nomshayeli omkhulu wezohwebo nezezimali emhlabeni,” U-Al Sabban wachaza.
I-Wuhan coronavirus idale ukungaqiniseki kanye nokudideka ngezinga lapho intengo yezimpahla nezinsizakalo ezahlukahlukene, okubandakanya uwoyela, izothinteka ngayo, kusho yena.
"Sithole ukuthi ngokushesha nje lapho i-coronavirus isakazeka - futhi isisakazekela nakwamanye amazwe - izimakethe zomhlaba zathinteka futhi zehla kakhulu. Ukwehla okukhulu kakhulu kube yizimakethe zikawoyela, njengoba iChina iyizwe elithenga kakhulu uwoyela kwamanye amazwe, ingelesibili ngobukhulu ngemuva kweMelika,” kusho u-Al Sabban.
Ubuye wengeza ngokuthi umonakalo omkhulu odalwe emakethe yaseShayina, isimo somnotho esicishe sibe ntekenteke lapho kanye nokuhlukaniswa kwezifundazwe eziningi emhlabeni kuthinte isidingo sikaphethiloli.
Isidingo sikawoyela samaShayina sehle okungenani ngama-20% emasontweni asanda kwedlula, wengeza, futhi "ukusabalala okuqhubekayo kwaleli gciwane kusho umonakalo omkhulu ezimakethe ezahlukahlukene zomhlaba, ikakhulukazi imakethe kawoyela."
Intengo kawoyela ifike ezingeni eliphansi kakhulu esikhathini esingaphezu konyaka ngoFebhuwari 3. I-China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) ezinze eBeijing, umcwengisisi omkhulu kunawo wonke e-Asia, yehlise ukukhiqizwa kule nyanga cishe ngemiphongolo engu-600,000 ngosuku.
UMohammed Yasin, oyisikhulu samasu e-Abu Dhabi Capital, utshele abeMedia Line ukuthi ngenxa yokuthi umnotho waseChina mkhulu kakhulu, ukusabalala kwe-coronavirus kubangele ukwehla kwezomnotho emhlabeni, okubandakanya ukusetshenziswa nokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe.
“Amanani kawoyela abengaphansi kwengcindezi,” kusho uYasin.
“UBrent [oluhlaza] kanye ne-WTI [West Texas Intermediate, okubili okuyinhloko uphawu lokubonisas ezithengwa emhlabeni wonke] bezilokhu zehla njalo ngenxa yokuthi imakethe ilindele ukwehla kwezomnotho eChina kanye nesidingo sikawoyela,” echaza. Ngakho uwoyela [waseChina] uzokwehla kancane.”
Yize kunjalo, uYasin uphawule umhlangano ohleliwe weNhlangano Yamazwe Athumela Uphethiloli (OPEC) lapho izikhulu zizodingida khona izincomo zokuthi kuncishiswe ukukhiqizwa kwansuku zonke ngemiphongolo engu-600,000 ukuze kuzinziswe izimakethe ngenxa yokwehla kwesidingo esilindelekile esivela eChina eminyakeni emibili kuya kwemithathu ezayo. izinyanga.
"Ayikavunywa okwamanje, yingakho amanani kawoyela ehle afinyelela cishe ku-$50 we-WTI kanye no-$54 we-Brent crude," esho.
U-Yasin wachaza ukuthi lapho isidingo se-petroleum sehla, umnotho wanoma yiliphi izwe elithembele ekuwuthumeleni kwamanye amazwe ufika ngaphansi kwengcindezi futhi uhlangabezana nokushoda kwesabelomali.
“Okulindelekile ukuthi ukukhula kwezinkampani kanye nokukhula kwe-GDP kuleyo minotho kuzohamba kancane, okuzobonakala ekusebenzeni kwezinkampani zikahulumeni kanye nokwehla kwezimakethe zamasheya,” esho.
“Asikholwa ukuthi lokhu kubi ngokushesha, njengoba iningi lemiphumela [yezezimali] ebikwayo ingeyekota yesine, lapho ingekho i-coronavirus,” eqhubeka. “Ukukhishwa kwemiphumela yekota yokuqala ka-2020 kuzoqala ngo-Ephreli, ngakho-ke uma leli gciwane lingatholakala emasontweni amabili kuya kwamathathu alandelayo, singakhuluma ngomonakalo wekota yokuqala futhi sifinyelele esigabeni sesibili nesesithathu. ”
Uma i-coronavirus iqhubeka nokusabalala isikhathi esingaphezu kwamasonto amathathu engeziwe, u-Yasin ubikezela ukwehla okukhulu kokukhula kwe-GDP yaseChina, kwehle kusuka kusilinganiso sonyaka esilindelwe esingu-6% kuya ku-5% okulindelekile, kanye nokwehla kokukhula kwe-GDP yawo wonke amazwe ukuthembela ekuthumeleni uwoyela eShayina noma ukungenisa izimpahla zisuka lapho.
“Omunye umphumela esinawo lapha esifundeni [sama-Arab] uphathelene namazwe athembele kwezokuvakasha eChina, njenge-Egypt,” eqhubeka. “Izindiza eziya noma ezibuya eChina manje sezinomkhawulo, okuthinta izinkampani zezindiza nezokuvakasha, ngakho-ke ukusetshenziswa kwemali kwabathengi. Izivakashi eziningi zaseChina bezivakashele lesi sifunda futhi zisebenzisa imali ezimakethe zethu. ”
UMazen Irshaid, uchwepheshe wezezimali ozinze e-Amman obhalela imithombo yezindaba eminingi yama-Arab, utshele iMedia Line ukuthi nakuba abathumeli bakawoyela belimale, “akunjalo emazweni angenisa uwoyela njengeJordan, lapho umthelela uhluke ngokuphelele. . I-Amman ithenga kwamanye amazwe cishe amaphesenti angama-90 ezidingo zayo zamandla; izindleko… ziyehla njengoba amanani kawoyela emhlabeni wonke ehla.”
U-Irshaid wengeze ngokuthi uma leli gciwane liqhubeka nokusabalala, ukuhwebelana phakathi kwamazwe ama-Arab neChina kuzophazamiseka, njengoba kuzoba nezimakethe zamasheya zama-Arab, okuzogcina kunomthelela ekwehleni kokukhula komnotho emhlabeni.
Kubikwe okokuqala: ngu Umugqa Wezindaba
Umbhali: Dima Abumaria
Umthombo wangempela: https://themedialine.org/by-region/coronavirus-a-blow-to-some-arab-economies-but-not-all/
