Emhlanganweni waminyaka yonke wama-Prospects obuhlelwe yi-Tourism Society ngoLwesine, Januwari 8, ithimba lochwepheshe bemboni kanye nabasebenzi bezokuvakasha bahlangana ukuze baxoxe ngamathuba ezokuvakasha ngo-2009. ukuchitha, ukunciphisa isabelomali esivela emakethe yebhizinisi, ukuncipha kokuhlala kwamahhotela namanani ekamelo, kanye nezinsongo ezivela ezindlekweni ezikhuphukayo ze-APD ne-VISA, ezingase zinqande izivakashi ezingena eBrithani. Kodwa-ke, okuhle, izibikezelo zihlanganisa ukwanda kwezokuvakasha kwasekhaya e-UK (kokubili i-Caravan Club kanye ne-Hoseasons ibike ukwanda okukhulu kokubhukha kuze kube manje uma kuqhathaniswa noJanuwari 2008), ikhwelo lokuvusa abanikazi bamahhotela ukuthi banikeze inani elingcono lemali, elisha. ubuchwepheshe bamandla avuselelekayo, kanye nethuba lezivakashi eziningi ezivela e-USA nase-China njengoba ama-Olympics ase-Beijing kanye nokhetho lukamongameli wase-US seluphelile.

Ukubuka okuvela Kuphaneli
Geoffrey Lipman, isekela likanobhala jikelele we UNWTO kanye nosihlalo walo mcimbi, wathi ukufika kwangempela kwamanye amazwe kungaba kubi nakakhulu kunokukhula kwembulunga yonke okungamaphesenti angu-0-2 okwabikezelwa ngo-2009 (ngokusekelwe ekukhuleni okungamaphesenti ayisi-6 ngonyaka odlule). Ekuphenduleni lokhu, i- UNWTO usungule 'ikomiti lokuqina' ukuze libheke izibalo ngokucophelela futhi libambe imihlangano yokuxhumana ukuze lizame ukuqinisekisa ukuthi ezokuvakasha ziyafakwa ezinhlelweni zokukhuthaza.

UPhilip Morrison, uchwepheshe wemininingwane ye-VisitBritain, uthe ukuncipha kwephawundi uma kuqhathaniswa ne-Euro kuzovimbela izakhamizi zase-UK ukuthi zivakashele i-Eurozone kodwa kunokuba kudaleke ithuba lokuvakasha kwasekhaya, izivakashi zingancamela ukuvakashela izindawo ezisafufusa zaseMorroco, Egypt, naseTurkey. Abavakashi bazonciphisa ukuthenga, ukudla ngaphandle, nokuzijabulisa, kuyilapho amakhefu amafushane phesheya abonwa njengemakethe 'esengozini' kakhulu, futhi izivakashi kungenzeka zingazenzekeli. Imboni idinga ukuphendula kulokhu ngokunikeza inani elengeziwe ohambweni, uPhilip uxwayise, ngokuncishiswa kwamanani njengoba lokhu ngokuvamile kungase kubeke isibonelo, okunzima ukuphuma kuso. UPhilip uqhubeke waphakamisa ukuthi ezokuvakasha kwebhizinisi kungenzeka zibe nesidingo esibuthakathaka ngo-2009, izindiza eziningi zingase zehluleke njengoba izindleko zazo zizokhuphuka, futhi amahhotela amakhulu kanye nentuthuko yasemanzini izothola izinkinga ngezimali. I-US ibheke ukukhulisa isibalo sezakhamizi zase-US ezinamaphasipoti, okungaba yithuba lezivakashi ezingena e-UK. Imfuneko ye-VISA engaba khona yezivakashi ezingenayo ezivela eBrazil, Malaysia, naseNingizimu Afrika kanye nokukhuphuka kwezindleko ze-APD neze-VISA kuzokwenza i-UK ingakhangi kangako njengendawo oya kuyo.

UPhilip Green, usihlalo we-UKInbound, uthe isimo somnotho singase siholele ekwehliseni izindleko, okungase kusho amazinga aphansi wenkonzo kanye nokuntuleka kokutshalwa kwezimali okusha ezakhiweni zamahhotela, okungase kube ukukhathazeka ngentuthuko ka-2012. "Ukuntuleka komcimbi omkhulu wezemidlalo wamazwe ngamazwe ngo-2009 kungakhulula isidingo se-UK, kodwa imakethe engenayo ngo-2009 kungenzeka ibe 'thambile' futhi inani labantu basehhotela lingase lehle," kuphawula uGreen, ngenkathi egcizelela ukuthi ukumaketha nokukhuthazwa kwamanye amazwe. yase-UK njengendawo edingekayo, kodwa ngemali encane ye-VisitBritain lo msebenzi usengozini. "Ngiyethemba ukuthi uhulumeni wase-UK uzobona maduze ukuthi izindleko eziphezulu ze-APD ne-VISA zizosebenza njengesivimbelo ezivakashini ezingenayo."

URobert Barnard, umxhasi walo mcimbi futhi ebambisene ne-PKF consultancy, uveze ukuthi ngoDisemba 2000 kanye noNovemba 2008 ukuhlala kwamahhotela eLondon kwakusezingeni elifanayo - cishe amaphesenti angu-81 - okubonisa ukuqina kwemakethe naphezu kokuguquguquka phakathi neminyaka ngenxa unyawo nomlomo, 9/11, SARS, kanye nempi e-Iraq. I-London inemakethe yamahhotela emangalisayo futhi ingalulama ngokushesha esimweni se-geopolitical; ngakho-ke, kuyaqinisekisa ukuqaphela ukuthi umlando ukhombisa ukuthi ukululama kungenzeka. Umkhakha wamahhotela wesifunda awuguquguquki njenge-London futhi ukuguquguquka kuhambisana nesimo somnotho. Umkhakha wemakethe emaphakathi cishe uzolimala lapho uqhudelana namahhotela esabelomali. "Manje yisikhathi sokubheka ibhizinisi lakho ngokucophelela futhi uqinisekise ukuthi usesimweni esihle sokubhekana nesiphepho."

UJohn Bevan, owake waba yiphini likamongameli we-UK & Ireland we- lastminute.com, uthe abakhiqizi abakhulu bezokuvakasha bebenciphisa umthamo, beshiya amasayithi atholakala sekwephuzile engenakuthengiswa okuncane. Izinga lenzalo elincishisiwe libangela ukuthi ababekade bebambisana abahlala phesheya kwezilwandle asebethathe umhlalaphansi babuyele ekhaya, okungenzeka ukuthi kukhuthaze isidingo samaholide asekhaya. Lezo zakhamizi zase-UK ezinemali ebolekiwe ye-tracker zizoba nemali eningi engasetshenziswa ohambweni. Inzalo yokuvakasha ephumayo kumakhefu ahlanganisa konke iyakhula. Ubude besikhathi obuvumelana nezimo kuyithrendi esethelwe ukukhula lapho abaqhubi benikeza ubusuku obu-5-6 nobusuku obuyi-9-10 esikhundleni sobusiko obungu-7 noma obuyi-14. Kafushane, u-2009 uzoba nzima emkhakheni ophumayo oletha ithuba lemakethe yasekhaya ukuthi ichume.

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Emcimbini waminyaka yonke othi 'Prospects' ngoMasingana wezi-2008

Emhlanganweni waminyaka yonke wama-Prospects obuhlelwe yi-Tourism Society ngoLwesine mhla ziyi-10 kuMasingana, ithimba lochwepheshe bemboni kanye nochwepheshe bezokuvakasha bahlangana ukuze baxoxe ngamathuba ezokuvakasha ngo-2008.

Geoffrey Lipman, Isekela likaNobhala Jikelele we UNWTO futhi usihlalo womcimbi waqala izinqubo ngesibikezelo esihle se-WTO sokukhula komhlaba wonke okungama-5% okungenzeka kuqhubeke ngo-2008. I-Europe mancane amathuba okuba ikhule kangako kodwa amazwe asathuthuka azobona ukukhula okuphezulu. Izinto ezingase zithiye lesi sibikezelo esihle ngo-2008 zifaka umnotho, ukushintshana kwemali, izinhlekelele zemvelo nezibangelwa abantu kanye nempi.

I-Tourism Society yenze ucwaningo lokubikezela kwamalungu ngo-2008 futhi yathola imibono eminingi elandelayo:

Ukuhlala kwamahhotela kuzohlala kunjalo kodwa imali engenayo yaseLondon izokhula
U-85% wabaphenduli ucabange ukuthi ukusetshenziswa kwezindawo zokubuyekeza amahhotela kuzokhula
Ama-75% acabanga ukuthi amakhefu amafushane asekhaya azokhuphuka
U-69% ucabange ukuthi amaholide aphesheya azokwanda
U-75% uphendule ngokuthi amanani abagibeli bezindiza zebhajethi azokwenyuka
Abangu-73% babecabanga ukuthi ukusetshenziswa kwamawebhusayithi okuqhathanisa njenge-Expedia kuzokwenyusa uma kuqhathaniswa namawebhusayithi enkampani ngayinye njenge-ba.com.
U-94% ubecabanga ukuthi ukusetshenziswa kwe-inthanethi ukubhukha amaholide aphesheya kuzonyuka uma kuqhathaniswa nama-86% abebecabanga ukuthi ukusetshenziswa kwe-inthanethi ukubhukha uhambo lwasekhaya kuzonyuka futhi bangama-76% kuphela abacabanga okufanayo ngohambo lwamabhizinisi.

U-Nick Cust, uMqondisi Ohlangene wakwaSuperbreak ubikezele ukuthi ingxenye yokuqala ka-2008 izoba nzima kodwa iLondon kungenzeka ingathinteki ngenxa yezinto ezinhle ezifana nesixhumanisi esisha se-eurostar esivela e-St Pancras, imicimbi e-O2 Arena kanye nemibukiso emisha yaseshashalazini yaseLondon. umhlaba. Ngokunensa kwemakethe yezindlu, amakhefu amafushane asekhaya angahle abonakale ekhuphuka kancane nokho izifundazwe, ikakhulukazi amahhotela, azohlupheka ngenxa yokukhula kweLondon futhi azoba nenhlanhla yokubamba izinga elifanayo lenzuzo lika-2007 naphezu kwentuthuko engxenyeni yesibili ka-2008. .

UStephen Dowd, oyi-CEO ye-UKinbound uchaze ukuthi izinkinga ezingezinhle ngo-2007 ezihlanganisa ukwenyuka kwezindleko ze-APD kanye ne-VISA, iphawundi elifinyelela ku-US$2, umsebenzi wamaphekula, izinxushunxushu zasesikhumulweni sezindiza kanye nezikhukhula, unyawo nomlomo, ukuncishiswa kwesabelomali se-VisitBritain, kanye ne-VISAS entsha yebhayomethrikhi konke kwakuyizithiyo. e-UK ngokudayisa ngempumelelo umkhiqizo wayo wezokuvakasha emhlabeni jikelele. UStephen ubikezele ukwehla kwezinombolo zezivakashi ngo-1-2% kuya ku-32 million ezingeni lika-2005 kanti imali engenayo kulindeleke ukuthi yehle ngo-4-5%. Umthelela wenhlalo walokhu kwehla ukulahleka kwemisebenzi eyizi-8,000 kwezokuvakasha ezisabalele kulo lonke elase-UK. Iviki Lezokuvakasha laseBrithani ngoMashi lizokwenza ukuthi imboni yezokuvakasha yase-UK ikwazi ukuzithuthukisa futhi inxenxe uhulumeni ukuthi ahoxise izindleko ze-APD ne-VISA.

U-Tom Jenkins, Umqondisi Omkhulu we-European Tour Operators Association (ETOA) uchaze ukuthi imboni yezokuvakasha iyashintsha njengoba izindiza zebhajethi zakha izindawo ezintsha nokuziphatha kwamakhasimende namaphethini okuhamba ashintshayo ngenxa yalokho. Isici esiyinhloko okumelwe sibukwe ngo-2008 inqubo yokuguqula i-Passenger Travel Directive.

U-Vanessa Cotton, MD we-Conference and Events Division e-Excel Centre wayenombono omuhle ngomkhakha wezokuvakasha webhizinisi u-Vanessa awuchaza njengomkhakha wezimakethe othokozisayo, oqinile futhi okhulayo onenani lama-£22.8 billion emnothweni wase-UK. Ukuvakasha kwebhizinisi kushukumisa umnotho, kukhuthaze ukutshalwa kwezimali esikhathini esizayo futhi kunomthelela ekuvuselelweni kabusha kwamadolobha. Imicimbi izobiza ukuyibamba ngokunyuka kwentengo kawoyela negesi kanye nokwehla kwamandla emali. U-Vanessa ubikezele ukuthi indinganiso entsha ebizwa nge-BS8901 izobaluleka kakhulu onyakeni ozayo ekulawuleni imicimbi esimeme. I-2012 iyithuba elikhulu kodwa ukuntuleka kwamanje kokubumbana e-UK kungase kuphazamise amandla. Isikhungo se-Excel sibikezela ukwanda kwenzuzo ngo-20% ngo-2008 ngokuhlala kanye nesivuno.

U-Barry Humphreys, uMqondisi Wezindaba Zangaphandle e-Virgin Atlantic wabikezela ukuthi i-2008 izoba unyaka othakazelisayo; I-IATA ikhiphe isibikezelo sezimali semboni esisha esilinganisa inzuzo yemboni yomhlaba wonke yama-US$5.6 wezigidigidi ngo-2007 yehlela ku-US$5.0 wezigidigidi ngo-2008. (www.iata.org). Imvelo izoqhubeka nokuba yinkinga enkulu futhi Virgin bayingxenye 'flyingmatters'; umfelandawonye owasungulwa ukuze ubambe iqhaza engxoxweni elinganiselayo nenolwazi ngegalelo lezindiza ekuguquguqukeni kwesimo sezulu. I-Virgin izogxila kubuchwepheshe obusha ngo-2008 futhi kulindeleke ukuthi indize indiza yokuqala nge-biofuel. Ukubonisana kukahulumeni mayelana nokwandiswa kwe-Heathrow kuyaqhubeka uBarry aphakamisa ukuthi kubalulekile emnothweni wase-UK kanye nemboni yezokuvakasha. Isivumelwano se-Open Skies sizobona izinsiza ezintsha nezinyusiwe zisuka e-EU ziye e-US zisuka e-Heathrow; isigaba 1 siqala ngoMashi kanye nesiteji sesi-2 ehlobo.